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Premier League 2026/27

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

We predict 0-1. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

37%Bournemouth

25%draw

38%Brighton

Predicted score 0-1 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Brighton at 38%.
  • Home advantage: Bournemouth have home support, but Brighton are strong enough to overcome it.
  • Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 53%.
  • Safest bet: Brighton or draw (Double chance), about a 63% chance.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Brighton?

Our AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction is 0-1. Brighton are 38% to win, the draw is 25%, and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. The match kicks off Wed, 02 Dec 2026 at 01:30 IST, next day.

Predicted score
0-1
Our pick
Brighton, 38%
Draw
25%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Bournemouth have home support, but Brighton are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.

    Helps Even

  • Goals outlook

    Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 53%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Brighton are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 25%. An early goal for them would be hard for Bournemouth to overturn.

    Helps Brighton

How many goals in Bournemouth vs Brighton?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 57%Over 2.5 goals 53%Expected goals 1.39 / 1.42

Best bets for Bournemouth vs Brighton

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 63%

    Double chance

    Brighton or draw

    Wins if Brighton win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 57%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 57%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 9%

    Correct score

    Brighton 0-1

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

AFC Bournemouth

A solid mid-table side. Bournemouth are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Vitality Stadium, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Organised and dependable, Brighton usually win on the road at Vitality Stadium through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings Brighton & Hove Albion to AFC Bournemouth's Vitality Stadium. Brighton get a 38% rating from our model, which expects 1.39 goals from Bournemouth and 1.42 from Brighton. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Bournemouth and Brighton: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Bournemouth play 3 days after their game away at Fulham on 29 Nov, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Hull 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 13 of 38 for them.

Brighton play 3 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 29 Nov, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Forest 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 13 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at American Express Stadium, is on Tue, 05 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.

  1. 29 NovFulham vs BournemouthCraven Cottage
  2. 29 NovBrighton vs NewcastleAmerican Express Stadium
  3. 02 DecBournemouth vs BrightonVitality StadiumThis match
  4. 05 DecBournemouth vs HullVitality Stadium
  5. 05 DecForest vs BrightonCity Ground

More Bournemouth and Brighton predictions

FAQ · 7

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Brighton?

Brighton & Hove Albion, on our numbers: Bournemouth 37%, draw 25%, Brighton 38%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion in India?

Kick-off is 01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 (20:00 in the UK), at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Brighton?

Brighton or draw is the safer option at 63%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (57%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Bournemouth vs Brighton match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Brighton & Hove Albion favourite hain. Bournemouth ka chance 37%, draw 25% aur Brighton ka chance 38% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

What is the score prediction for Bournemouth vs Brighton?

We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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