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Premier League 2026/27

Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

We predict 2-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

73%Arsenal

17%draw

10%Bournemouth

Predicted score 2-0 (half-time 1-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 2-0, with Arsenal at 73%.
  • Home advantage: Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
  • Goals outlook: Expect chances at both ends: our model has 3.1 goals and puts over 2.5 at 60%.
  • Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 90% chance.

Who will win Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

We back Arsenal in Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth, with a predicted score of 2-0 and a 73% win chance. The model expects goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%. Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 at 20:30 IST.

Predicted score
2-0
Our pick
Arsenal, 73%
Draw
17%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.

    Helps Arsenal

  • Goals outlook

    Expect chances at both ends: our model has 3.1 goals and puts over 2.5 at 60%.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 17%. Bournemouth can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Arsenal

How many goals in Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 48%Over 2.5 goals 60%Expected goals 2.36 / 0.74

Best bets for Arsenal vs Bournemouth

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 90%

    Double chance

    Arsenal or draw

    Pays out on a Arsenal win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 60%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 3.1 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 13%

    Correct score

    Arsenal 2-0

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Arsenal

A title-level side, Arsenal will expect to dominate possession in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium. Bournemouth need discipline for the full 90 minutes.

Away

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth are tough to score against on the road at Emirates Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth visit Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal in the 2026/27 Premier League. Arsenal get a 73% rating from our model, which expects 2.36 goals from Arsenal and 0.74 from Bournemouth. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Arsenal and Bournemouth: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Arsenal play 7 days after their game away at Spurs on 05 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Man Utd 7 days after this one. It is game 15 of 38 for them.

Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Hull on 05 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Coventry 7 days after this one. It is game 15 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Vitality Stadium, is on Sat, 24 Apr 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.

  1. 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  2. 05 DecBournemouth vs HullVitality Stadium
  3. 12 DecArsenal vs BournemouthEmirates StadiumThis match
  4. 19 DecArsenal vs Man UtdEmirates Stadium
  5. 19 DecBournemouth vs CoventryVitality Stadium

More Arsenal and Bournemouth predictions

FAQ · 7

Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

Arsenal, on our numbers: Arsenal 73%, draw 17%, Bournemouth 10%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth in India?

The game starts at 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 12 Dec 2026, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Emirates Stadium, London. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

For a safer bet, Arsenal or draw (90%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (60%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Arsenal vs Bournemouth match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 73%, draw 17% aur Bournemouth ka chance 10% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Is Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Bournemouth.

Where can I watch Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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