Premier League 2026/27
Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
62%Spurs
22%draw
16%Bournemouth
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Spurs at 62%.
- Home advantage: Spurs are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).
- Safest bet: Spurs or draw (Double chance), about a 84% chance.
Who will win Spurs vs Bournemouth?
Our Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth prediction is 1-0. Spurs are 62% to win, the draw is 22%, and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 26 Dec 2026 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Spurs, 62%
- Draw
- 22%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Spurs are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Spurs
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
Spurs are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 22%. An early goal for them would be hard for Bournemouth to overturn.
Helps Spurs
How many goals in Spurs vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Spurs vs Bournemouth
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 84%
Double chance
Spurs or draw
Pays out on a Spurs win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 54%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 12%
Correct score
Spurs 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, built on a strong midfield.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
A steady mid-table team, Bournemouth defend well on the road at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Match preview
Tottenham Hotspur host AFC Bournemouth at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.95 goals from Spurs and 0.88 from Bournemouth, which is where the 62% rating for Spurs comes from. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Spurs and Bournemouth: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 19 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Brighton 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 17 of 38 for them.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Coventry on 19 Dec. Their next league game is away at Palace 4 days after this one. It is game 17 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Vitality Stadium, is on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.
- 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield
- 19 DecBournemouth vs CoventryVitality Stadium
- 26 DecSpurs vs BournemouthTottenham Hotspur StadiumThis match
- 29 DecSpurs vs BrightonTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 30 DecPalace vs BournemouthSelhurst Park
More Spurs and Bournemouth predictions
- 03 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 29 DecTottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 03 JanManchester City vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 30 DecCrystal Palace vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 02 JanAFC Bournemouth vs Aston VillaPremier League, 23:00 IST
- 26 DecAston Villa vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 18:00 IST
Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Spurs vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Tottenham Hotspur. We rate Spurs at 62%, the draw at 22% and Bournemouth at 16%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth in India?
The game starts at 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 26 Dec 2026, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Spurs vs Bournemouth?
For a safer bet, Spurs or draw (84%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (54%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Spurs vs Bournemouth match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Tottenham Hotspur favourite hain. Spurs ka chance 62%, draw 22% aur Bournemouth ka chance 16% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.
Will both teams score in Spurs vs Bournemouth?
We rate both teams to score at 50%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.