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Premier League 2026/27

Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

53%Palace

24%draw

23%Bournemouth

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Palace at 53%.
  • Home advantage: Palace are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
  • Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.
  • Safest bet: Palace or draw (Double chance), about a 77% chance.

Who will win Palace vs Bournemouth?

Our Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth prediction is 1-0. Palace are 53% to win, the draw is 24%, and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. The match kicks off Wed, 30 Dec 2026 at 01:00 IST, next day.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Palace, 53%
Draw
24%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Palace are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Selhurst Park adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.

    Helps Palace

  • Goals outlook

    Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Palace are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 24%. An early goal for them would be hard for Bournemouth to overturn.

    Helps Palace

How many goals in Palace vs Bournemouth?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 52%Expected goals 1.71 / 1.06

Best bets for Palace vs Bournemouth

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 77%

    Double chance

    Palace or draw

    Wins if Palace win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 52%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 11%

    Correct score

    Palace 1-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

Palace are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Selhurst Park, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Away

AFC Bournemouth

A solid mid-table side. Bournemouth are hard to break down on the road at Selhurst Park, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth visit Selhurst Park to face Crystal Palace in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 1.71 expected goals for Palace against 1.06 for Bournemouth, and that gap drives our 53% rating for Palace. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Palace and Bournemouth: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Palace play 3 days after their game at home to Arsenal on 27 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Brentford 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.

Bournemouth play 4 days after their game away at Spurs on 26 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Villa 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Vitality Stadium, is on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.

  1. 26 DecSpurs vs BournemouthTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  2. 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park
  3. 30 DecPalace vs BournemouthSelhurst ParkThis match
  4. 02 JanBrentford vs PalaceGtech Community Stadium
  5. 02 JanBournemouth vs VillaVitality Stadium

More Palace and Bournemouth predictions

FAQ · 7

Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Palace vs Bournemouth?

We back Crystal Palace. Malik Mumbai's model gives Palace 53%, the draw 24% and Bournemouth 23%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth in India?

Kick-off is 01:00 IST, next day India time on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 (19:30 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Palace vs Bournemouth?

For a safer bet, Palace or draw (77%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (52%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Palace vs Bournemouth match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Crystal Palace favourite hain. Palace ka chance 53%, draw 24% aur Bournemouth ka chance 23% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

What is the score prediction for Palace vs Bournemouth?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.

Is Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Bournemouth.

Where can I watch Palace vs Bournemouth?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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