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Premier League 2026/27

AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction

1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

39%Bournemouth

26%draw

35%Palace

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Bournemouth at 39%.
  • Home advantage: Bournemouth have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Vitality Stadium.
  • Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 52%.
  • Safest bet: Bournemouth or draw (Double chance), about a 65% chance.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Palace?

Malik Mumbai predicts AFC Bournemouth to beat Crystal Palace, 1-0. We give Bournemouth a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 20 Feb 2027 at 20:30 IST at Vitality Stadium.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Bournemouth, 39%
Draw
26%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Bournemouth have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Vitality Stadium.

    Helps Bournemouth

  • Goals outlook

    2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 52%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Bournemouth are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 26%. An early goal for them would be hard for Palace to overturn.

    Helps Bournemouth

How many goals in Bournemouth vs Palace?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 56%Over 2.5 goals 52%Expected goals 1.42 / 1.34

Best bets for Bournemouth vs Palace

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 65%

    Double chance

    Bournemouth or draw

    Wins if Bournemouth win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 56%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 9%

    Correct score

    Bournemouth 1-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

AFC Bournemouth

A steady mid-table team, Bournemouth defend well in front of their own fans at Vitality Stadium but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Away

Crystal Palace

Palace are tough to score against on the road at Vitality Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth host Crystal Palace at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.42 expected goals for Bournemouth against 1.34 for Palace, and that gap drives our 39% rating for Bournemouth. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Bournemouth and Palace: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Bournemouth play 10 days after their game away at Villa on 10 Feb. Their next league game is away at Coventry 7 days after this one. It is game 26 of 38 for them.

Palace play 10 days after their game at home to Brentford on 10 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Sunderland 7 days after this one. It is game 26 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Selhurst Park, was played on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 10 FebVilla vs BournemouthVilla Park
  2. 10 FebPalace vs BrentfordSelhurst Park
  3. 20 FebBournemouth vs PalaceVitality StadiumThis match
  4. 27 FebCoventry vs BournemouthCoventry Building Society Arena
  5. 27 FebPalace vs SunderlandSelhurst Park

More Bournemouth and Palace predictions

FAQ · 7

AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Palace?

AFC Bournemouth, on our numbers: Bournemouth 39%, draw 26%, Palace 35%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace in India?

The game starts at 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Palace?

Our safer bet is Bournemouth or draw (65%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (56%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Bournemouth vs Palace match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se AFC Bournemouth favourite hain. Bournemouth ka chance 39%, draw 26% aur Palace ka chance 35% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Bournemouth vs Palace?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Is AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Bournemouth and London.

How many goals will there be in AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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