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Premier League, London derby

Crystal Palace vs Brentford prediction

We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

58%Palace

24%draw

18%Brentford

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Palace at 58%.
  • Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Palace get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Selhurst Park.
  • Goals outlook: Our model sees 2.5 goals and only a 45% chance of three or more, so a tight game is likely.
  • Safest bet: Palace or draw (Double chance), about a 82% chance.

Who will win Palace vs Brentford?

Our Crystal Palace vs Brentford prediction is 1-0. Palace are 58% to win, the draw is 24%, and both teams score in 45% of our simulations. The match kicks off Wed, 10 Feb 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Palace, 58%
Draw
24%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    On top of being the stronger side, Palace get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Selhurst Park.

    Helps Palace

  • Goals outlook

    Our model sees 2.5 goals and only a 45% chance of three or more, so a tight game is likely.

    Helps Few goals

  • Derby factor

    The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.

    Helps Draw

How many goals in Palace vs Brentford?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 45%Over 2.5 goals 45%Expected goals 1.67 / 0.80

Best bets for Palace vs Brentford

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 82%

    Double chance

    Palace or draw

    Wins if Palace win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 76%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 14%

    Correct score

    Palace 1-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

A steady mid-table team, Palace defend well in front of their own fans at Selhurst Park but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Away

Brentford

A steady mid-table team, Brentford defend well on the road at Selhurst Park but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings Brentford to Crystal Palace's Selhurst Park. It is the London derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. Our goals model expects 1.67 goals from Palace and 0.80 from Brentford, which is where the 58% rating for Palace comes from. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Palace and Brentford: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Palace play 4 days after their game at home to Coventry on 06 Feb. Their next league game is away at Bournemouth 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.

Brentford play 4 days after their game away at Forest on 06 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Coventry 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Gtech Community Stadium, was played on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 06 FebPalace vs CoventrySelhurst Park
  2. 06 FebForest vs BrentfordCity Ground
  3. 10 FebPalace vs BrentfordSelhurst ParkThis match
  4. 20 FebBournemouth vs PalaceVitality Stadium
  5. 20 FebBrentford vs CoventryGtech Community Stadium

More Palace and Brentford predictions

FAQ · 7

Crystal Palace vs Brentford: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Palace vs Brentford?

We back Crystal Palace. Malik Mumbai's model gives Palace 58%, the draw 24% and Brentford 18%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Crystal Palace vs Brentford in India?

Kick-off is 01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Palace vs Brentford?

Our safer bet is Palace or draw (82%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (76%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Palace vs Brentford match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Crystal Palace favourite hain. Palace ka chance 58%, draw 24% aur Brentford ka chance 18% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

What is the score prediction for Palace vs Brentford?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-0 at 14%.

How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

Our model expects 2.5 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 8% chance of a 0-0.

Is Crystal Palace vs Brentford a derby?

Yes, it is the London derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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