Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
60%Villa
22%draw
18%Bournemouth
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Villa at 60%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Villa get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Villa Park.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.9 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 54%.
- Safest bet: Villa or draw (Double chance), about a 82% chance.
Who will win Villa vs Bournemouth?
Malik Mumbai predicts Aston Villa to beat AFC Bournemouth, 1-0. We give Villa a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22%, and expect about 2.9 goals in total. Kick-off is Wed, 10 Feb 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day at Villa Park.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Villa, 60%
- Draw
- 22%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Villa get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Villa Park.
Helps Villa
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.9 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Villa are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 22%. An early goal for them would be hard for Bournemouth to overturn.
Helps Villa
How many goals in Villa vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Villa vs Bournemouth
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 82%
Double chance
Villa or draw
Pays out on a Villa win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 54%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 2.9 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Villa 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Aston Villa
A strong, well-drilled team. Villa tend to win games in front of their own fans at Villa Park by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
A solid mid-table side. Bournemouth are hard to break down on the road at Villa Park, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Match preview
AFC Bournemouth visit Villa Park to face Aston Villa in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 1.91 expected goals for Villa against 0.95 for Bournemouth, and that gap drives our 60% rating for Villa. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Villa and Bournemouth: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Villa play 4 days after their game away at Sunderland on 06 Feb. Their next league game is away at Leeds 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.
Bournemouth play 4 days after their game away at Leeds on 06 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Palace 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Vitality Stadium, was played on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 06 FebSunderland vs VillaStadium of Light
- 06 FebLeeds vs BournemouthElland Road
- 10 FebVilla vs BournemouthVilla ParkThis match
- 20 FebLeeds vs VillaElland Road
- 20 FebBournemouth vs PalaceVitality Stadium
More Villa and Bournemouth predictions
- 02 JanAFC Bournemouth vs Aston VillaPremier League, 23:00 IST
- 20 FebLeeds United vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 27 FebAston Villa vs ChelseaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 20 FebAFC Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 20:30 IST
- 27 FebCoventry City vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebCoventry City vs LiverpoolPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Villa vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Aston Villa. We rate Villa at 60%, the draw at 22% and Bournemouth at 18%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth in India?
Kick-off is 01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 in the UK), at Villa Park in Birmingham. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Villa vs Bournemouth?
For a safer bet, Villa or draw (82%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (54%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Villa vs Bournemouth match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Aston Villa favourite hain. Villa ka chance 60%, draw 22% aur Bournemouth ka chance 18% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Villa vs Bournemouth?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our model expects 2.9 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.
Is Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Birmingham and Bournemouth.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.