Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland vs Aston Villa prediction
2-1 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
38%Sunderland
25%draw
37%Villa
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 2-1, with Sunderland at 38%.
- Home advantage: Sunderland are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 54%.
- Safest bet: Sunderland or draw (Double chance), about a 63% chance.
Who will win Sunderland vs Villa?
Malik Mumbai predicts Sunderland to beat Aston Villa, 2-1. We give Sunderland a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 06 Feb 2027 at 20:30 IST at Stadium of Light.
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Our pick
- Sunderland, 38%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Sunderland are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Stadium of Light adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Sunderland
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Sunderland are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 25%. An early goal for them would be hard for Villa to overturn.
Helps Sunderland
How many goals in Sunderland vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Sunderland vs Villa
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 63%
Double chance
Sunderland or draw
Covers a Sunderland win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 57%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 57%.
Long shot
Our chance 8%
Correct score
Sunderland 2-1
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
Sunderland are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Stadium of Light, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Away
Aston Villa
Organised and dependable, Villa usually win on the road at Stadium of Light through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Match preview
Sunderland host Aston Villa at Stadium of Light in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.42 goals from Sunderland and 1.41 from Villa, which is where the 38% rating for Sunderland comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Sunderland and Villa: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game away at Spurs on 30 Jan. Their next league game is away at Hull 4 days after this one. It is game 24 of 38 for them.
Villa play 7 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 30 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Bournemouth 4 days after this one. It is game 24 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Villa Park, was played on Sat, 21 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 30 JanSpurs vs SunderlandTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 30 JanVilla vs IpswichVilla Park
- 06 FebSunderland vs VillaStadium of LightThis match
- 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
- 10 FebVilla vs BournemouthVilla Park
More Sunderland and Villa predictions
- 21 NovAston Villa vs SunderlandPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebHull City vs SunderlandPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 20 FebLeeds United vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolPremier League, 20:30 IST
Sunderland vs Aston Villa: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Sunderland vs Villa?
We back Sunderland. Malik Mumbai's model gives Sunderland 38%, the draw 25% and Villa 37%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Sunderland vs Aston Villa in India?
The game starts at 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Stadium of Light, Sunderland. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Villa?
For a safer bet, Sunderland or draw (63%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (57%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Sunderland vs Villa match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Sunderland favourite hain. Sunderland ka chance 38%, draw 25% aur Villa ka chance 37% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Villa?
We predict 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Villa?
We rate both teams to score at 57%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Aston Villa?
Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.