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Premier League 2026/27

Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction

Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

49%Arsenal

25%draw

26%Liverpool

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Arsenal at 49%.
  • Home advantage: Arsenal are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
  • Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.
  • Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 74% chance.

Who will win Arsenal vs Liverpool?

We back Arsenal in Arsenal vs Liverpool, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 49% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kick-off: Sat, 06 Feb 2027 at 20:30 IST.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Arsenal, 49%
Draw
25%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Arsenal are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Emirates Stadium adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.

    Helps Arsenal

  • Goals outlook

    Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Liverpool can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Arsenal

How many goals in Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 52%Expected goals 1.64 / 1.12

Best bets for Arsenal vs Liverpool

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 74%

    Double chance

    Arsenal or draw

    Covers a Arsenal win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 52%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Arsenal 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Arsenal

One of the league's best sides. Arsenal should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium, so the question is whether Liverpool can stay compact for 90 minutes.

Away

Liverpool

A title-level side, Liverpool will expect to dominate possession on the road at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal need discipline for the full 90 minutes.

Match preview

Liverpool visit Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal in the 2026/27 Premier League. Arsenal get a 49% rating from our model, which expects 1.64 goals from Arsenal and 1.12 from Liverpool. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Arsenal and Liverpool: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Arsenal play 7 days after their game away at Man City on 30 Jan. Their next league game is away at Ipswich 4 days after this one. It is game 24 of 38 for them.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Everton on 30 Jan. Their next league game is away at Coventry 4 days after this one. It is game 24 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Anfield, was played on Sun, 01 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 30 JanMan City vs ArsenalEtihad Stadium
  2. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
  3. 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolEmirates StadiumThis match
  4. 10 FebIpswich vs ArsenalPortman Road
  5. 10 FebCoventry vs LiverpoolCoventry Building Society Arena

More Arsenal and Liverpool predictions

FAQ · 7

Arsenal vs Liverpool: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Arsenal vs Liverpool?

We back Arsenal. Malik Mumbai's model gives Arsenal 49%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 26%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Arsenal vs Liverpool in India?

Sat, 06 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Our safer bet is Arsenal or draw (74%). For more value we like total goals: Over 2.5 (52%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Arsenal vs Liverpool match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 49%, draw 25% aur Liverpool ka chance 26% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Arsenal vs Liverpool a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Liverpool.

What is the score prediction for Arsenal vs Liverpool?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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