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Premier League, Merseyside derby

Liverpool vs Everton prediction

2-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

76%Liverpool

17%draw

7%Everton

Predicted score 2-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 2-0, with Liverpool at 76%.
  • Home advantage: Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (49% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 93% chance.

Who will win Liverpool vs Everton?

Our Liverpool vs Everton prediction is 2-0. Liverpool are 76% to win, the draw is 17%, and both teams score in 34% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 30 Jan 2027 at 20:30 IST.

Predicted score
2-0
Our pick
Liverpool, 76%
Draw
17%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.

    Helps Liverpool

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (49% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Derby factor

    The Merseyside derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.

    Helps Draw

How many goals in Liverpool vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 34%Over 2.5 goals 49%Expected goals 2.16 / 0.49

Best bets for Liverpool vs Everton

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 93%

    Double chance

    Liverpool or draw

    Covers a Liverpool win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 72%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 16%

    Correct score

    Liverpool 2-0

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

A title-level side, Liverpool will expect to dominate possession in front of their own fans at Anfield. Everton need discipline for the full 90 minutes.

Away

Everton

A solid mid-table side. Everton are hard to break down on the road at Anfield, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Match preview

Everton visit Anfield to face Liverpool in the 2026/27 Premier League. It is the Merseyside derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. We project 2.16 expected goals for Liverpool against 0.49 for Everton, and that gap drives our 76% rating for Liverpool. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Liverpool and Everton: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game away at Man Utd on 23 Jan. Their next league game is away at Arsenal 7 days after this one. It is game 23 of 38 for them.

Everton play 7 days after their game at home to Brentford on 23 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. It is game 23 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, was played on Sun, 29 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 23 JanMan Utd vs LiverpoolOld Trafford
  2. 23 JanEverton vs BrentfordHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfieldThis match
  4. 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolEmirates Stadium
  5. 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium

More Liverpool and Everton predictions

FAQ · 7

Liverpool vs Everton: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Liverpool vs Everton?

We back Liverpool. Malik Mumbai's model gives Liverpool 76%, the draw 17% and Everton 7%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Liverpool vs Everton in India?

Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Everton?

Liverpool or draw is the safer option at 93%. The value pick is total goals: Under 3.5 (72%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Liverpool vs Everton match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Liverpool ka chance 76%, draw 17% aur Everton ka chance 7% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

What is the score prediction for Liverpool vs Everton?

We predict 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 2-0 at 16%.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Is Liverpool vs Everton a derby?

Yes, it is the Merseyside derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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