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Premier League 2026/27

Everton vs Brentford prediction

We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

47%Everton

25%draw

28%Brentford

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Everton at 47%.
  • Home advantage: Everton have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Everton or draw (Double chance), about a 72% chance.

Who will win Everton vs Brentford?

Malik Mumbai predicts Everton to beat Brentford, 1-0. We give Everton a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 23 Jan 2027 at 20:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Everton, 47%
Draw
25%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Everton have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

    Helps Everton

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Everton are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 25%. An early goal for them would be hard for Brentford to overturn.

    Helps Everton

How many goals in Everton vs Brentford?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 55%Over 2.5 goals 52%Expected goals 1.59 / 1.16

Best bets for Everton vs Brentford

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 72%

    Double chance

    Everton or draw

    Covers a Everton win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 55%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 55%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Everton 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Everton

Everton are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Hill Dickinson Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Away

Brentford

Brentford are tough to score against on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Match preview

Everton host Brentford at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.59 expected goals for Everton against 1.16 for Brentford, and that gap drives our 47% rating for Everton. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Everton and Brentford: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 7 days after their game away at Coventry on 16 Jan. Their next league game is away at Liverpool 7 days after this one. It is game 22 of 38 for them.

Brentford play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 16 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Man Utd 7 days after this one. It is game 22 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Gtech Community Stadium, was played on Mon, 23 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 16 JanCoventry vs EvertonCoventry Building Society Arena
  2. 16 JanBrentford vs BrightonGtech Community Stadium
  3. 23 JanEverton vs BrentfordHill Dickinson StadiumThis match
  4. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
  5. 30 JanBrentford vs Man UtdGtech Community Stadium

More Everton and Brentford predictions

FAQ · 7

Everton vs Brentford: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Everton vs Brentford?

Everton, on our numbers: Everton 47%, draw 25%, Brentford 28%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Everton vs Brentford in India?

Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Brentford?

Everton or draw is the safer option at 72%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (55%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Everton vs Brentford match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Everton favourite hain. Everton ka chance 47%, draw 25% aur Brentford ka chance 28% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Brentford?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.

Is Everton vs Brentford a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Liverpool and London.

What is the score prediction for Everton vs Brentford?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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