Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs Newcastle United prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
59%Arsenal
22%draw
19%Newcastle
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Arsenal at 59%.
- Home advantage: Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
- Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 81% chance.
Who will win Arsenal vs Newcastle?
Malik Mumbai predicts Arsenal to beat Newcastle United, 1-0. We give Arsenal a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 23 Jan 2027 at 20:30 IST at Emirates Stadium.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Arsenal, 59%
- Draw
- 22%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
Helps Arsenal
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
Arsenal are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 22%. An early goal for them would be hard for Newcastle to overturn.
Helps Arsenal
How many goals in Arsenal vs Newcastle?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Newcastle
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 81%
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Covers a Arsenal win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 53%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Arsenal 1-0
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
One of the league's best sides. Arsenal should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium, so the question is whether Newcastle can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Away
Newcastle United
Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win on the road at Emirates Stadium through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Match preview
Newcastle United visit Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal in the 2026/27 Premier League. Arsenal get a 59% rating from our model, which expects 1.86 goals from Arsenal and 0.96 from Newcastle. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Arsenal and Newcastle: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Arsenal play 7 days after their game away at Hull on 16 Jan. Their next league game is away at Man City 7 days after this one. It is game 22 of 38 for them.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game at home to Fulham on 16 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Brighton 7 days after this one. It is game 22 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at St James' Park, was played on Sat, 21 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 16 JanHull vs ArsenalMKM Stadium
- 16 JanNewcastle vs FulhamSt James' Park
- 23 JanArsenal vs NewcastleEmirates StadiumThis match
- 30 JanMan City vs ArsenalEtihad Stadium
- 30 JanNewcastle vs BrightonSt James' Park
More Arsenal and Newcastle predictions
- 21 NovNewcastle United vs ArsenalPremier League, 23:00 IST
- 30 JanManchester City vs ArsenalPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 30 JanNewcastle United vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 06 FebEverton vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 23 JanBrighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
Arsenal vs Newcastle United: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Arsenal vs Newcastle?
We back Arsenal. Malik Mumbai's model gives Arsenal 59%, the draw 22% and Newcastle 19%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Arsenal vs Newcastle United in India?
Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Newcastle?
Arsenal or draw is the safer option at 81%. The value pick is total goals: Over 2.5 (53%). Check the line-ups before you bet.
Arsenal vs Newcastle match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 59%, draw 22% aur Newcastle ka chance 19% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Newcastle?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Is Arsenal vs Newcastle United a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Newcastle.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.