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Premier League 2026/27

Newcastle United vs Fulham prediction

Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

59%Newcastle

22%draw

19%Fulham

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 59%.
  • Home advantage: Newcastle have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at St James' Park.
  • Goals outlook: With 2.9 expected goals and over 2.5 at 56%, this looks more open than tight.
  • Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 81% chance.

Who will win Newcastle vs Fulham?

Malik Mumbai predicts Newcastle United to beat Fulham, 1-0. We give Newcastle a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22%, and expect about 2.9 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 16 Jan 2027 at 20:30 IST at St James' Park.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Newcastle, 59%
Draw
22%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Newcastle have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at St James' Park.

    Helps Newcastle

  • Goals outlook

    With 2.9 expected goals and over 2.5 at 56%, this looks more open than tight.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 22%. Fulham can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Newcastle

How many goals in Newcastle vs Fulham?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 56%Expected goals 1.93 / 0.99

Best bets for Newcastle vs Fulham

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 81%

    Double chance

    Newcastle or draw

    Covers a Newcastle win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 56%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.9 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Newcastle 1-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Newcastle United

Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win in front of their own fans at St James' Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.

Away

Fulham

Fulham are tough to score against on the road at St James' Park, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Match preview

Newcastle United host Fulham at St James' Park in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.93 goals from Newcastle and 0.99 from Fulham, which is where the 59% rating for Newcastle comes from. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Newcastle and Fulham: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Newcastle play 9 days after their game away at Man Utd on 07 Jan. Their next league game is away at Arsenal 7 days after this one. It is game 21 of 38 for them.

Fulham play 10 days after their game at home to Spurs on 06 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Villa 7 days after this one. It is game 21 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Craven Cottage, was played on Sat, 07 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 06 JanFulham vs SpursCraven Cottage
  2. 07 JanMan Utd vs NewcastleOld Trafford
  3. 16 JanNewcastle vs FulhamSt James' ParkThis match
  4. 23 JanArsenal vs NewcastleEmirates Stadium
  5. 23 JanFulham vs VillaCraven Cottage

More Newcastle and Fulham predictions

FAQ · 7

Newcastle United vs Fulham: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Newcastle vs Fulham?

We back Newcastle United. Malik Mumbai's model gives Newcastle 59%, the draw 22% and Fulham 19%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Newcastle United vs Fulham in India?

Sat, 16 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Fulham?

Newcastle or draw is the safer option at 81%. The value pick is total goals: Over 2.5 (56%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Newcastle vs Fulham match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 59%, draw 22% aur Fulham ka chance 19% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Newcastle United vs Fulham a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Newcastle and London.

How many goals will there be in Newcastle United vs Fulham?

Our model expects 2.9 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Fulham?

We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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