Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
53%Newcastle
24%draw
23%Brighton
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 53%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
- Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 77% chance.
Who will win Newcastle vs Brighton?
We back Newcastle in Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 53% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kick-off: Sat, 30 Jan 2027 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Newcastle, 53%
- Draw
- 24%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
Helps Newcastle
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Our ratings put Newcastle clearly ahead, and the draw is only 24%. If Newcastle score first, Brighton may struggle to come back.
Helps Newcastle
How many goals in Newcastle vs Brighton?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Newcastle vs Brighton
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 77%
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Covers a Newcastle win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 71%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Newcastle 1-0
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
A strong, well-drilled team. Newcastle tend to win games in front of their own fans at St James' Park by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
Organised and dependable, Brighton usually win on the road at St James' Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Match preview
Newcastle United host Brighton & Hove Albion at St James' Park in the Premier League 2026/27. Newcastle get a 53% rating from our model, which expects 1.69 goals from Newcastle and 1.01 from Brighton. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Newcastle and Brighton: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game away at Arsenal on 23 Jan. Their next league game is away at Everton 7 days after this one. It is game 23 of 38 for them.
Brighton play 7 days after their game at home to Man City on 23 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Hull 7 days after this one. It is game 23 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at American Express Stadium, was played on Sun, 29 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 23 JanArsenal vs NewcastleEmirates Stadium
- 23 JanBrighton vs Man CityAmerican Express Stadium
- 30 JanNewcastle vs BrightonSt James' ParkThis match
- 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium
- 06 FebBrighton vs HullAmerican Express Stadium
More Newcastle and Brighton predictions
- 29 NovBrighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:35 IST
- 06 FebEverton vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebNewcastle United vs ChelseaPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 06 FebBrighton & Hove Albion vs Hull CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebManchester United vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 30 JanAFC Bournemouth vs FulhamPremier League, 20:30 IST
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Newcastle vs Brighton?
We back Newcastle United. Malik Mumbai's model gives Newcastle 53%, the draw 24% and Brighton 23%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion in India?
The game starts at 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at St James' Park, Newcastle. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Brighton?
Our safer bet is Newcastle or draw (77%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (71%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Newcastle vs Brighton match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 53%, draw 24% aur Brighton ka chance 23% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Newcastle and Brighton.
What is the score prediction for Newcastle vs Brighton?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Brighton?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.