Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Chelsea prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
42%Newcastle
26%draw
32%Chelsea
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 42%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
- Goals outlook: At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (51% for the over).
- Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 68% chance.
Who will win Newcastle vs Chelsea?
Our Newcastle United vs Chelsea prediction is 1-0. Newcastle are 42% to win, the draw is 26%, and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. The match kicks off Wed, 10 Feb 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Newcastle, 42%
- Draw
- 26%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
Helps Newcastle
Goals outlook
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (51% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
Newcastle are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 26%. An early goal for them would be hard for Chelsea to overturn.
Helps Newcastle
How many goals in Newcastle vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Newcastle vs Chelsea
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 68%
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Pays out on a Newcastle win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 55%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 55%.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Newcastle 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Newcastle are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at St James' Park, built on a strong midfield.
Away
Chelsea
Chelsea are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball on the road at St James' Park, leaving Newcastle to defend for long spells.
Match preview
Chelsea visit St James' Park to face Newcastle United in the 2026/27 Premier League. Our goals model expects 1.47 goals from Newcastle and 1.26 from Chelsea, which is where the 42% rating for Newcastle comes from. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Newcastle and Chelsea: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Newcastle play 4 days after their game away at Everton on 06 Feb. Their next league game is away at Man City 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.
Chelsea play 4 days after their game away at Man Utd on 06 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Ipswich 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Stamford Bridge, was played on Sun, 03 Jan 2027, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium
- 06 FebMan Utd vs ChelseaOld Trafford
- 10 FebNewcastle vs ChelseaSt James' ParkThis match
- 20 FebMan City vs NewcastleEtihad Stadium
- 20 FebChelsea vs IpswichStamford Bridge
More Newcastle and Chelsea predictions
- 03 JanChelsea vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 20 FebManchester City vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 27 FebNewcastle United vs BrentfordPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 20 FebChelsea vs Ipswich TownPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 27 FebAston Villa vs ChelseaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
Newcastle United vs Chelsea: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Newcastle vs Chelsea?
We back Newcastle United. Malik Mumbai's model gives Newcastle 42%, the draw 26% and Chelsea 32%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Newcastle United vs Chelsea in India?
Kick-off is 01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 in the UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Chelsea?
Newcastle or draw is the safer option at 68%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (55%). Check the line-ups before you bet.
Newcastle vs Chelsea match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 42%, draw 26% aur Chelsea ka chance 32% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Chelsea?
We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Chelsea?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
What is the score prediction for Newcastle vs Chelsea?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.