Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Arsenal prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
40%Newcastle
26%draw
34%Arsenal
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 40%.
- Home advantage: Newcastle have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at St James' Park.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
- Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 66% chance.
Who will win Newcastle vs Arsenal?
We back Newcastle in Newcastle United vs Arsenal, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 40% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 at 23:00 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Newcastle, 40%
- Draw
- 26%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Newcastle have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at St James' Park.
Helps Newcastle
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Newcastle are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 26%. An early goal for them would be hard for Arsenal to overturn.
Helps Newcastle
How many goals in Newcastle vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Newcastle vs Arsenal
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 66%
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Covers a Newcastle win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 55%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 55%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Newcastle 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Newcastle are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at St James' Park, built on a strong midfield.
Away
Arsenal
A title-level side, Arsenal will expect to dominate possession on the road at St James' Park. Newcastle need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Match preview
Newcastle United host Arsenal at St James' Park in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.43 goals from Newcastle and 1.30 from Arsenal, which is where the 40% rating for Newcastle comes from. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Newcastle and Arsenal: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Newcastle play 14 days after their game away at Fulham on 07 Nov, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is away at Brighton 8 days after this one. It is game 11 of 38 for them.
Arsenal play 14 days after their game at home to Hull on 07 Nov, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is at home to Man City 8 days after this one. It is game 11 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Emirates Stadium, is on Sat, 23 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 07 NovFulham vs NewcastleCraven Cottage
- 07 NovArsenal vs HullEmirates Stadium
- 21 NovNewcastle vs ArsenalSt James' ParkThis match
- 29 NovBrighton vs NewcastleAmerican Express Stadium
- 29 NovArsenal vs Man CityEmirates Stadium
More Newcastle and Arsenal predictions
- 23 JanArsenal vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 29 NovBrighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:35 IST
- 02 DecNewcastle United vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 29 NovArsenal vs Manchester CityPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 02 DecBrentford vs ArsenalPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 21 NovManchester City vs FulhamPremier League, 18:00 IST
Newcastle United vs Arsenal: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Newcastle vs Arsenal?
We back Newcastle United. Malik Mumbai's model gives Newcastle 40%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 34%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Newcastle United vs Arsenal in India?
Kick-off is 23:00 IST India time on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 (17:30 in the UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Arsenal?
For a safer bet, Newcastle or draw (66%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (55%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Newcastle vs Arsenal match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 40%, draw 26% aur Arsenal ka chance 34% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Arsenal?
We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Is Newcastle United vs Arsenal a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Newcastle and London.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.