Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
41%Arsenal
26%draw
33%Man City
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Arsenal at 41%.
- Home advantage: Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.
- Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 67% chance.
Who will win Arsenal vs Man City?
Our Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction is 1-0. Arsenal are 41% to win, the draw is 26%, and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sun, 29 Nov 2026 at 22:00 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Arsenal, 41%
- Draw
- 26%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
Helps Arsenal
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 26%. Man City can't afford to concede first.
Helps Arsenal
How many goals in Arsenal vs Man City?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Man City
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 67%
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Pays out on a Arsenal win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 56%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Arsenal 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
A title-level side, Arsenal will expect to dominate possession in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium. Man City need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Away
Manchester City
One of the league's best sides. Man City should have most of the ball on the road at Emirates Stadium, so the question is whether Arsenal can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Manchester City to Arsenal's Emirates Stadium. We project 1.46 expected goals for Arsenal against 1.28 for Man City, and that gap drives our 41% rating for Arsenal. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Arsenal and Man City: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Arsenal play 8 days after their game away at Newcastle on 21 Nov. Their next league game is away at Brentford 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 12 of 38 for them.
Man City play 8 days after their game at home to Fulham on 21 Nov. Their next league game is at home to Leeds 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 12 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Etihad Stadium, is on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 21 NovMan City vs FulhamEtihad Stadium
- 21 NovNewcastle vs ArsenalSt James' Park
- 29 NovArsenal vs Man CityEmirates StadiumThis match
- 02 DecBrentford vs ArsenalGtech Community Stadium
- 02 DecMan City vs LeedsEtihad Stadium
More Arsenal and Man City predictions
- 30 JanManchester City vs ArsenalPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 02 DecBrentford vs ArsenalPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 05 DecTottenham Hotspur vs ArsenalPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 02 DecManchester City vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 05 DecBrentford vs Manchester CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolPremier League, 17:30 IST
Arsenal vs Manchester City: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Arsenal vs Man City?
Our pick is Arsenal. We rate Arsenal at 41%, the draw at 26% and Man City at 33%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Arsenal vs Manchester City in India?
Kick-off is 22:00 IST India time on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 (16:30 in the UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Man City?
Our safer bet is Arsenal or draw (67%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (56%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Arsenal vs Man City match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 41%, draw 26% aur Man City ka chance 33% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Arsenal vs Manchester City a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Manchester.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Man City?
We rate both teams to score at 56%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Man City?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.