Premier League, Merseyside derby
Everton vs Liverpool prediction
Our predicted score is 0-1. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
24%Everton
25%draw
51%Liverpool
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Liverpool at 51%.
- Home advantage: Everton have home support, but Liverpool are strong enough to overcome it.
- Goals outlook: 2.6 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 49%.
- Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 76% chance.
Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?
Our Everton vs Liverpool prediction is 0-1. Liverpool are 51% to win, the draw is 25%, and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sun, 29 Nov 2026 at 17:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Liverpool, 51%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Everton have home support, but Liverpool are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
2.6 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 49%.
Helps Even
Derby factor
The Merseyside derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Everton vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Everton vs Liverpool
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 76%
Double chance
Liverpool or draw
Covers a Liverpool win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 73%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 12%
Correct score
Liverpool 0-1
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Hill Dickinson Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Away
Liverpool
Liverpool are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, leaving Everton to defend for long spells.
Match preview
Liverpool visit Hill Dickinson Stadium to face Everton in the 2026/27 Premier League. It is the Merseyside derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. We project 1.02 expected goals for Everton against 1.62 for Liverpool, and that gap drives our 51% rating for Liverpool. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Everton and Liverpool: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Everton play 6 days after their game away at Brentford on 23 Nov. Their next league game is away at Villa 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 12 of 38 for them.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 22 Nov. Their next league game is at home to Sunderland 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 12 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Anfield, is on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on TNT Sports.
- 22 NovLiverpool vs Man UtdAnfield
- 23 NovBrentford vs EvertonGtech Community Stadium
- 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolHill Dickinson StadiumThis match
- 02 DecVilla vs EvertonVilla Park
- 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
More Everton and Liverpool predictions
- 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 02 DecAston Villa vs EvertonPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 05 DecEverton vs FulhamPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 05 DecChelsea vs LiverpoolPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 29 NovBrighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:35 IST
Everton vs Liverpool: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?
Liverpool, on our numbers: Everton 24%, draw 25%, Liverpool 51%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Everton vs Liverpool in India?
Kick-off is 17:30 IST India time on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 (12:00 in the UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Everton vs Liverpool?
Our safer bet is Liverpool or draw (76%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (73%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Everton vs Liverpool match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Everton ka chance 24%, draw 25% aur Liverpool ka chance 51% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Liverpool?
We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 49%.
What is the score prediction for Everton vs Liverpool?
We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Is Everton vs Liverpool a derby?
Yes, it is the Merseyside derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.