Premier League 2026/27
Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
38%Chelsea
25%draw
37%Liverpool
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Chelsea at 38%.
- Home advantage: Chelsea have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stamford Bridge.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
- Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 63% chance.
Who will win Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Our Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction is 1-0. Chelsea are 38% to win, the draw is 25%, and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 05 Dec 2026 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Chelsea, 38%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Chelsea have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stamford Bridge.
Helps Chelsea
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Liverpool can't afford to concede first.
Helps Chelsea
How many goals in Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Chelsea vs Liverpool
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 63%
Double chance
Chelsea or draw
Covers a Chelsea win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 57%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 57%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Chelsea 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Chelsea
A title-level side, Chelsea will expect to dominate possession in front of their own fans at Stamford Bridge. Liverpool need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Away
Liverpool
One of the league's best sides. Liverpool should have most of the ball on the road at Stamford Bridge, so the question is whether Chelsea can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Match preview
Chelsea host Liverpool at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.40 expected goals for Chelsea against 1.39 for Liverpool, and that gap drives our 38% rating for Chelsea. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Chelsea and Liverpool: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Chelsea play 3 days after their game at home to Palace on 02 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Man City 7 days after this one. It is game 14 of 38 for them.
Liverpool play 3 days after their game at home to Sunderland on 02 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. It is game 14 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Anfield, is on Sat, 01 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.
- 02 DecChelsea vs PalaceStamford Bridge
- 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
- 05 DecChelsea vs LiverpoolStamford BridgeThis match
- 12 DecMan City vs ChelseaEtihad Stadium
- 12 DecLiverpool vs LeedsAnfield
More Chelsea and Liverpool predictions
- 01 MayLiverpool vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 12 DecManchester City vs ChelseaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 19 DecChelsea vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 12 DecLiverpool vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 19 DecLiverpool vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Hull CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
Chelsea vs Liverpool: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Chelsea, on our numbers: Chelsea 38%, draw 25%, Liverpool 37%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Chelsea vs Liverpool in India?
Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Stamford Bridge in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
For a safer bet, Chelsea or draw (63%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (57%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Chelsea vs Liverpool match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Chelsea ka chance 38%, draw 25% aur Liverpool ka chance 37% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Chelsea vs Liverpool a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Liverpool.
What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.