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Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction

We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

56%Liverpool

23%draw

21%Chelsea

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Liverpool at 56%.
  • Home advantage: Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.
  • Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.
  • Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 79% chance.

Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Malik Mumbai predicts Liverpool to beat Chelsea, 1-0. We give Liverpool a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 01 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at Anfield.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Liverpool, 56%
Draw
23%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.

    Helps Liverpool

  • Goals outlook

    2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 23%. Chelsea can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Liverpool

How many goals in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 53%Over 2.5 goals 53%Expected goals 1.81 / 1.01

Best bets for Liverpool vs Chelsea

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 79%

    Double chance

    Liverpool or draw

    Pays out on a Liverpool win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 53%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 11%

    Correct score

    Liverpool 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball in front of their own fans at Anfield, leaving Chelsea to defend for long spells.

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball on the road at Anfield, leaving Liverpool to defend for long spells.

Match preview

Chelsea visit Anfield to face Liverpool in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 1.81 expected goals for Liverpool against 1.01 for Chelsea, and that gap drives our 56% rating for Liverpool. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Liverpool and Chelsea: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game away at Leeds on 24 Apr. Their next league game is away at Man City 7 days after this one. It is game 34 of 38 for them.

Chelsea play 7 days after their game at home to Man City on 24 Apr. Their next league game is away at Spurs 7 days after this one. It is game 34 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Stamford Bridge, was played on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 24 AprLeeds vs LiverpoolElland Road
  2. 24 AprChelsea vs Man CityStamford Bridge
  3. 01 MayLiverpool vs ChelseaAnfieldThis match
  4. 08 MayMan City vs LiverpoolEtihad Stadium
  5. 08 MaySpurs vs ChelseaTottenham Hotspur Stadium

More Liverpool and Chelsea predictions

FAQ · 7

Liverpool vs Chelsea: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?

We back Liverpool. Malik Mumbai's model gives Liverpool 56%, the draw 23% and Chelsea 21%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Liverpool vs Chelsea in India?

Sat, 01 May 2027, 19:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

For a safer bet, Liverpool or draw (79%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (53%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Liverpool vs Chelsea match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Liverpool ka chance 56%, draw 23% aur Chelsea ka chance 21% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Chelsea?

We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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