Premier League, London derby
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
40%Spurs
28%draw
32%Chelsea
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Spurs at 40%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Spurs get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
- Goals outlook: Our model sees 2.4 goals and only a 42% chance of three or more, so a tight game is likely.
- Safest bet: Spurs or draw (Double chance), about a 68% chance.
Who will win Spurs vs Chelsea?
Our Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea prediction is 1-0. Spurs are 40% to win, the draw is 28%, and both teams score in 48% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 08 May 2027 at 19:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Spurs, 40%
- Draw
- 28%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Spurs get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Helps Spurs
Goals outlook
Our model sees 2.4 goals and only a 42% chance of three or more, so a tight game is likely.
Helps Few goals
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Spurs vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Spurs vs Chelsea
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 68%
Double chance
Spurs or draw
Pays out on a Spurs win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 79%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 12%
Correct score
Spurs 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, built on a strong midfield.
Away
Chelsea
One of the league's best sides. Chelsea should have most of the ball on the road at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, so the question is whether Spurs can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Match preview
Chelsea visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to face Tottenham Hotspur in the 2026/27 Premier League. It is the London derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. Our goals model expects 1.26 goals from Spurs and 1.10 from Chelsea, which is where the 40% rating for Spurs comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Spurs and Chelsea: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Arsenal on 01 May. Their next league game is away at Coventry 7 days after this one. It is game 35 of 38 for them.
Chelsea play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 01 May. Their next league game is at home to Everton 7 days after this one. It is game 35 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Stamford Bridge, was played on Sat, 24 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 01 MayArsenal vs SpursEmirates Stadium
- 01 MayLiverpool vs ChelseaAnfield
- 08 MaySpurs vs ChelseaTottenham Hotspur StadiumThis match
- 15 MayCoventry vs SpursCoventry Building Society Arena
- 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonStamford Bridge
More Spurs and Chelsea predictions
- 24 OctChelsea vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 15 MayCoventry City vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayTottenham Hotspur vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayAFC Bournemouth vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 08 MayAFC Bournemouth vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Spurs vs Chelsea?
Our pick is Tottenham Hotspur. We rate Spurs at 40%, the draw at 28% and Chelsea at 32%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea in India?
Kick-off is 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 08 May 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Spurs vs Chelsea?
Spurs or draw is the safer option at 68%. The value pick is total goals: Under 3.5 (79%). Check the line-ups before you bet.
Spurs vs Chelsea match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Tottenham Hotspur favourite hain. Spurs ka chance 40%, draw 28% aur Chelsea ka chance 32% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Is Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea a derby?
Yes, it is the London derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.
Will both teams score in Spurs vs Chelsea?
We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it leans no. Over 2.5 goals is 42%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.