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Premier League 2026/27

AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea prediction

1-2 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

32%Bournemouth

25%draw

43%Chelsea

Predicted score 1-2 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-2, with Chelsea at 43%.
  • Home advantage: Bournemouth have home support, but Chelsea are strong enough to overcome it.
  • Goals outlook: Expect chances at both ends: our model has 2.9 goals and puts over 2.5 at 56%.
  • Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 68% chance.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Chelsea?

Malik Mumbai predicts Chelsea to beat AFC Bournemouth, 1-2. We give Chelsea a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.9 goals in total. Kick-off is Sun, 23 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at Vitality Stadium.

Predicted score
1-2
Our pick
Chelsea, 43%
Draw
25%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Bournemouth have home support, but Chelsea are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.

    Helps Even

  • Goals outlook

    Expect chances at both ends: our model has 2.9 goals and puts over 2.5 at 56%.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    Chelsea are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 25%. An early goal for them would be hard for Bournemouth to overturn.

    Helps Chelsea

How many goals in Bournemouth vs Chelsea?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 59%Over 2.5 goals 56%Expected goals 1.34 / 1.59

Best bets for Bournemouth vs Chelsea

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 68%

    Double chance

    Chelsea or draw

    Covers a Chelsea win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 59%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 59%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 9%

    Correct score

    Chelsea 1-2

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Vitality Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Away

Chelsea

One of the league's best sides. Chelsea should have most of the ball on the road at Vitality Stadium, so the question is whether Bournemouth can stay compact for 90 minutes.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth host Chelsea at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. Chelsea get a 43% rating from our model, which expects 1.34 goals from Bournemouth and 1.59 from Chelsea. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Bournemouth and Chelsea: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Bournemouth play 8 days after their game away at Sunderland on 15 May. Their next league game is away at Liverpool 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.

Chelsea play 8 days after their game at home to Everton on 15 May. Their next league game is at home to Brentford 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Stamford Bridge, was played on Sat, 10 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 15 MaySunderland vs BournemouthStadium of Light
  2. 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonStamford Bridge
  3. 23 MayBournemouth vs ChelseaVitality StadiumThis match
  4. 30 MayLiverpool vs BournemouthAnfield
  5. 30 MayChelsea vs BrentfordStamford Bridge

More Bournemouth and Chelsea predictions

FAQ · 7

AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Chelsea?

Chelsea, on our numbers: Bournemouth 32%, draw 25%, Chelsea 43%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea in India?

Sun, 23 May 2027, 19:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Chelsea?

Chelsea or draw is the safer option at 68%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (59%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Bournemouth vs Chelsea match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Bournemouth ka chance 32%, draw 25% aur Chelsea ka chance 43% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-2 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

What is the score prediction for Bournemouth vs Chelsea?

We predict 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.

Is AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Bournemouth and London.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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