Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
40%Sunderland
25%draw
35%Bournemouth
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Sunderland at 40%.
- Home advantage: Sunderland are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).
- Safest bet: Sunderland or draw (Double chance), about a 65% chance.
Who will win Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Malik Mumbai predicts Sunderland to beat AFC Bournemouth, 1-0. We give Sunderland a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 15 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at Stadium of Light.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Sunderland, 40%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Sunderland are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Stadium of Light adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Sunderland
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Bournemouth can't afford to concede first.
Helps Sunderland
How many goals in Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Sunderland vs Bournemouth
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 65%
Double chance
Sunderland or draw
Wins if Sunderland win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 57%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 57%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Sunderland 1-0
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
A steady mid-table team, Sunderland defend well in front of their own fans at Stadium of Light but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
A solid mid-table side. Bournemouth are hard to break down on the road at Stadium of Light, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Match preview
Sunderland host AFC Bournemouth at Stadium of Light in the Premier League 2026/27. Sunderland get a 40% rating from our model, which expects 1.48 goals from Sunderland and 1.35 from Bournemouth. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Sunderland and Bournemouth: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game away at Brighton on 08 May. Their next league game is away at Leeds 8 days after this one. It is game 36 of 38 for them.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 08 May. Their next league game is at home to Chelsea 8 days after this one. It is game 36 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Vitality Stadium, was played on Sun, 18 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 08 MayBrighton vs SunderlandAmerican Express Stadium
- 08 MayBournemouth vs Man UtdVitality Stadium
- 15 MaySunderland vs BournemouthStadium of LightThis match
- 23 MayLeeds vs SunderlandElland Road
- 23 MayBournemouth vs ChelseaVitality Stadium
More Sunderland and Bournemouth predictions
- 18 OctAFC Bournemouth vs SunderlandPremier League, 18:30 IST
- 23 MayLeeds United vs SunderlandPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 30 MaySunderland vs Manchester CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayAFC Bournemouth vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 30 MayLiverpool vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 15 MayArsenal vs Nottingham ForestPremier League, 19:30 IST
Sunderland vs AFC Bournemouth: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Sunderland. We rate Sunderland at 40%, the draw at 25% and Bournemouth at 35%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Sunderland vs AFC Bournemouth in India?
Kick-off is 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 15 May 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Sunderland or draw is the safer option at 65%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (57%). Check the line-ups before you bet.
Sunderland vs Bournemouth match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Sunderland favourite hain. Sunderland ka chance 40%, draw 25% aur Bournemouth ka chance 35% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Is Sunderland vs AFC Bournemouth a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Sunderland and Bournemouth.
Where can I watch Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.