Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa vs Newcastle United prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
49%Villa
25%draw
26%Newcastle
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Villa at 49%.
- Home advantage: Villa have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Villa Park.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
- Safest bet: Villa or draw (Double chance), about a 74% chance.
Who will win Villa vs Newcastle?
Malik Mumbai predicts Aston Villa to beat Newcastle United, 1-0. We give Villa a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.7 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 15 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at Villa Park.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Villa, 49%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Villa have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Villa Park.
Helps Villa
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Newcastle can't afford to concede first.
Helps Villa
How many goals in Villa vs Newcastle?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Villa vs Newcastle
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 74%
Double chance
Villa or draw
Wins if Villa win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 71%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Villa 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Aston Villa
Villa are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at Villa Park, built on a strong midfield.
Away
Newcastle United
Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win on the road at Villa Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Newcastle United to Aston Villa's Villa Park. We project 1.61 expected goals for Villa against 1.09 for Newcastle, and that gap drives our 49% rating for Villa. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Villa and Newcastle: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Villa play 7 days after their game away at Brentford on 08 May. Their next league game is away at Man City 8 days after this one. It is game 36 of 38 for them.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game at home to Coventry on 08 May. Their next league game is at home to Palace 8 days after this one. It is game 36 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at St James' Park, was played on Sat, 17 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 08 MayBrentford vs VillaGtech Community Stadium
- 08 MayNewcastle vs CoventrySt James' Park
- 15 MayVilla vs NewcastleVilla ParkThis match
- 23 MayMan City vs VillaEtihad Stadium
- 23 MayNewcastle vs PalaceSt James' Park
More Villa and Newcastle predictions
- 17 OctNewcastle United vs Aston VillaPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 23 MayManchester City vs Aston VillaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 30 MayAston Villa vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayNewcastle United vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 19:30 IST
- 30 MayHull City vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 15 MayArsenal vs Nottingham ForestPremier League, 19:30 IST
Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Villa vs Newcastle?
Aston Villa, on our numbers: Villa 49%, draw 25%, Newcastle 26%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Aston Villa vs Newcastle United in India?
Sat, 15 May 2027, 19:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Villa Park in Birmingham. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Villa vs Newcastle?
Our safer bet is Villa or draw (74%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (71%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Villa vs Newcastle match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Aston Villa favourite hain. Villa ka chance 49%, draw 25% aur Newcastle ka chance 26% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
What is the score prediction for Villa vs Newcastle?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Newcastle United?
Our model expects 2.7 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.