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Premier League 2026/27

Chelsea vs Everton prediction

Our predicted score is 2-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

72%Chelsea

17%draw

11%Everton

Predicted score 2-0 (half-time 1-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 2-0, with Chelsea at 72%.
  • Home advantage: Chelsea have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stamford Bridge.
  • Goals outlook: With 3.1 expected goals and over 2.5 at 61%, this looks more open than tight.
  • Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 89% chance.

Who will win Chelsea vs Everton?

Our Chelsea vs Everton prediction is 2-0. Chelsea are 72% to win, the draw is 17%, and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 15 May 2027 at 19:30 IST.

Predicted score
2-0
Our pick
Chelsea, 72%
Draw
17%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Chelsea have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stamford Bridge.

    Helps Chelsea

  • Goals outlook

    With 3.1 expected goals and over 2.5 at 61%, this looks more open than tight.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Chelsea clearly ahead, and the draw is only 17%. If Chelsea score first, Everton may struggle to come back.

    Helps Chelsea

How many goals in Chelsea vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 50%Over 2.5 goals 61%Expected goals 2.33 / 0.81

Best bets for Chelsea vs Everton

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 89%

    Double chance

    Chelsea or draw

    Covers a Chelsea win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 61%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 3.1 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 12%

    Correct score

    Chelsea 2-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball in front of their own fans at Stamford Bridge, leaving Everton to defend for long spells.

Away

Everton

Everton are tough to score against on the road at Stamford Bridge, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings Everton to Chelsea's Stamford Bridge. We project 2.33 expected goals for Chelsea against 0.81 for Everton, and that gap drives our 72% rating for Chelsea. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Chelsea and Everton: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Chelsea play 7 days after their game away at Spurs on 08 May. Their next league game is away at Bournemouth 8 days after this one. It is game 36 of 38 for them.

Everton play 7 days after their game at home to Hull on 08 May. Their next league game is at home to Arsenal 8 days after this one. It is game 36 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, was played on Sat, 17 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 08 MaySpurs vs ChelseaTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  2. 08 MayEverton vs HullHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonStamford BridgeThis match
  4. 23 MayBournemouth vs ChelseaVitality Stadium
  5. 23 MayEverton vs ArsenalHill Dickinson Stadium

More Chelsea and Everton predictions

FAQ · 7

Chelsea vs Everton: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Chelsea vs Everton?

Our pick is Chelsea. We rate Chelsea at 72%, the draw at 17% and Everton at 11%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Chelsea vs Everton in India?

The game starts at 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 15 May 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Stamford Bridge, London. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Chelsea vs Everton?

For a safer bet, Chelsea or draw (89%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (61%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Chelsea vs Everton match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Chelsea ka chance 72%, draw 17% aur Everton ka chance 11% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Everton?

We rate both teams to score at 50%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 61%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Everton?

Our model expects 3.1 goals. The most likely total is 3 goals, and there is a 4% chance of a 0-0.

What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs Everton?

We predict 2-0, with 1-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 2-0 at 12%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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