Malik MumbaiMalikMumbai

Premier League 2026/27

Everton vs Arsenal prediction

We predict 0-1. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

21%Everton

22%draw

57%Arsenal

Predicted score 0-1 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Arsenal at 57%.
  • Home advantage: Everton have home support, but Arsenal are strong enough to overcome it.
  • Goals outlook: Both sides create chances.
  • Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 79% chance.

Who will win Everton vs Arsenal?

Malik Mumbai predicts Arsenal to beat Everton, 0-1. We give Arsenal a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22%, and expect about 2.9 goals in total. Kick-off is Sun, 23 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Predicted score
0-1
Our pick
Arsenal, 57%
Draw
22%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Everton have home support, but Arsenal are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.

    Helps Even

  • Goals outlook

    Both sides create chances. We expect 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 at 56%, so an open game is more likely than a cagey one.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 22%. Everton can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Arsenal

How many goals in Everton vs Arsenal?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 55%Over 2.5 goals 56%Expected goals 1.03 / 1.88

Best bets for Everton vs Arsenal

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 79%

    Double chance

    Arsenal or draw

    Wins if Arsenal win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 55%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 55%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Arsenal 0-1

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Everton

A steady mid-table team, Everton defend well in front of their own fans at Hill Dickinson Stadium but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Away

Arsenal

One of the league's best sides. Arsenal should have most of the ball on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, so the question is whether Everton can stay compact for 90 minutes.

Match preview

Everton host Arsenal at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.03 goals from Everton and 1.88 from Arsenal, which is where the 57% rating for Arsenal comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Everton and Arsenal: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 8 days after their game away at Chelsea on 15 May. Their next league game is away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.

Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Forest on 15 May. Their next league game is at home to Brighton 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Emirates Stadium, was played on Sat, 24 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonStamford Bridge
  2. 15 MayArsenal vs ForestEmirates Stadium
  3. 23 MayEverton vs ArsenalHill Dickinson StadiumThis match
  4. 30 MayIpswich vs EvertonPortman Road
  5. 30 MayArsenal vs BrightonEmirates Stadium

More Everton and Arsenal predictions

FAQ · 7

Everton vs Arsenal: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Everton vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Arsenal. We rate Everton at 21%, the draw at 22% and Arsenal at 57%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Everton vs Arsenal in India?

Sun, 23 May 2027, 19:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Arsenal?

Our safer bet is Arsenal or draw (79%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (55%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Everton vs Arsenal match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Everton ka chance 21%, draw 22% aur Arsenal ka chance 57% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

What is the score prediction for Everton vs Arsenal?

We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Where can I watch Everton vs Arsenal?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

1