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Premier League 2026/27

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace prediction

We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

56%Newcastle

23%draw

21%Palace

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 56%.
  • Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
  • Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.
  • Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 79% chance.

Who will win Newcastle vs Palace?

Malik Mumbai predicts Newcastle United to beat Crystal Palace, 1-0. We give Newcastle a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sun, 23 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at St James' Park.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Newcastle, 56%
Draw
23%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.

    Helps Newcastle

  • Goals outlook

    2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 23%. Palace can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Newcastle

How many goals in Newcastle vs Palace?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 53%Over 2.5 goals 53%Expected goals 1.80 / 1.01

Best bets for Newcastle vs Palace

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 79%

    Double chance

    Newcastle or draw

    Pays out on a Newcastle win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 53%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 11%

    Correct score

    Newcastle 1-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Newcastle United

Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win in front of their own fans at St James' Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.

Away

Crystal Palace

A solid mid-table side. Palace are hard to break down on the road at St James' Park, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Match preview

Crystal Palace visit St James' Park to face Newcastle United in the 2026/27 Premier League. Newcastle get a 56% rating from our model, which expects 1.80 goals from Newcastle and 1.01 from Palace. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Newcastle and Palace: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Newcastle play 8 days after their game away at Villa on 15 May. Their next league game is away at Hull 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.

Palace play 8 days after their game at home to Brighton on 15 May. Their next league game is at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Selhurst Park, was played on Sun, 25 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 15 MayVilla vs NewcastleVilla Park
  2. 15 MayPalace vs BrightonSelhurst Park
  3. 23 MayNewcastle vs PalaceSt James' ParkThis match
  4. 30 MayHull vs NewcastleMKM Stadium
  5. 30 MayPalace vs LeedsSelhurst Park

More Newcastle and Palace predictions

FAQ · 7

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Newcastle vs Palace?

Newcastle United, on our numbers: Newcastle 56%, draw 23%, Palace 21%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace in India?

Kick-off is 19:30 IST India time on Sun, 23 May 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Palace?

Our safer bet is Newcastle or draw (79%). For more value we like total goals: Over 2.5 (53%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Newcastle vs Palace match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 56%, draw 23% aur Palace ka chance 21% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Palace?

We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Where can I watch Newcastle vs Palace?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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