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Premier League 2026/27

Crystal Palace vs Leeds United prediction

Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

65%Palace

21%draw

14%Leeds

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Palace at 65%.
  • Home advantage: Palace are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
  • Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.
  • Safest bet: Palace or draw (Double chance), about a 86% chance.

Who will win Palace vs Leeds?

Malik Mumbai predicts Crystal Palace to beat Leeds United, 1-0. We give Palace a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sun, 30 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at Selhurst Park.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Palace, 65%
Draw
21%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Palace are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Selhurst Park adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.

    Helps Palace

  • Goals outlook

    Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 21%. Leeds can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Palace

How many goals in Palace vs Leeds?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 47%Over 2.5 goals 52%Expected goals 1.98 / 0.80

Best bets for Palace vs Leeds

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 86%

    Double chance

    Palace or draw

    Pays out on a Palace win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 52%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 12%

    Correct score

    Palace 1-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

A steady mid-table team, Palace defend well in front of their own fans at Selhurst Park but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Away

Leeds United

A steady mid-table team, Leeds defend well on the road at Selhurst Park but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Match preview

Crystal Palace host Leeds United at Selhurst Park in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.98 goals from Palace and 0.80 from Leeds, which is where the 65% rating for Palace comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Palace and Leeds: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Palace play 7 days after their game away at Newcastle on 23 May. It is their last league game of the season. It is game 38 of 38 for them.

Leeds play 7 days after their game at home to Sunderland on 23 May. It is their last league game of the season. It is game 38 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Elland Road, was played on Sun, 20 Sept 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 23 MayNewcastle vs PalaceSt James' Park
  2. 23 MayLeeds vs SunderlandElland Road
  3. 30 MayPalace vs LeedsSelhurst ParkThis match

More Palace and Leeds predictions

FAQ · 7

Crystal Palace vs Leeds United: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Palace vs Leeds?

Crystal Palace, on our numbers: Palace 65%, draw 21%, Leeds 14%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Crystal Palace vs Leeds United in India?

Sun, 30 May 2027, 19:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Palace vs Leeds?

Palace or draw is the safer option at 86%. The value pick is total goals: Over 2.5 (52%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Palace vs Leeds match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Crystal Palace favourite hain. Palace ka chance 65%, draw 21% aur Leeds ka chance 14% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Leeds United?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

Is Crystal Palace vs Leeds United a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Leeds.

Will both teams score in Palace vs Leeds?

We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it leans no. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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