Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United vs Sunderland prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
53%Leeds
24%draw
23%Sunderland
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Leeds at 53%.
- Home advantage: Leeds are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 54%.
- Safest bet: Leeds or draw (Double chance), about a 77% chance.
Who will win Leeds vs Sunderland?
Our Leeds United vs Sunderland prediction is 1-0. Leeds are 53% to win, the draw is 24%, and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sun, 23 May 2027 at 19:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Leeds, 53%
- Draw
- 24%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Leeds are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Elland Road adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Leeds
Goals outlook
2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 54%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Leeds are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 24%. An early goal for them would be hard for Sunderland to overturn.
Helps Leeds
How many goals in Leeds vs Sunderland?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Leeds vs Sunderland
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 77%
Double chance
Leeds or draw
Covers a Leeds win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 55%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 55%.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Leeds 1-0
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Leeds United
Leeds are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Elland Road, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Away
Sunderland
A steady mid-table team, Sunderland defend well on the road at Elland Road but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Match preview
Sunderland visit Elland Road to face Leeds United in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 1.76 expected goals for Leeds against 1.08 for Sunderland, and that gap drives our 53% rating for Leeds. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Leeds and Sunderland: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Leeds play 8 days after their game away at Man Utd on 15 May. Their next league game is away at Palace 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.
Sunderland play 8 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 15 May. Their next league game is at home to Man City 7 days after this one. It is game 37 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Stadium of Light, was played on Sun, 25 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 15 MayMan Utd vs LeedsOld Trafford
- 15 MaySunderland vs BournemouthStadium of Light
- 23 MayLeeds vs SunderlandElland RoadThis match
- 30 MayPalace vs LeedsSelhurst Park
- 30 MaySunderland vs Man CityStadium of Light
More Leeds and Sunderland predictions
- 25 OctSunderland vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 30 MayCrystal Palace vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 30 MaySunderland vs Manchester CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayAFC Bournemouth vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayBrentford vs Hull CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayBrighton & Hove Albion vs LiverpoolPremier League, 19:30 IST
Leeds United vs Sunderland: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Leeds vs Sunderland?
Leeds United, on our numbers: Leeds 53%, draw 24%, Sunderland 23%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Leeds United vs Sunderland in India?
Kick-off is 19:30 IST India time on Sun, 23 May 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Leeds vs Sunderland?
Leeds or draw is the safer option at 77%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (55%). Check the line-ups before you bet.
Leeds vs Sunderland match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Leeds United favourite hain. Leeds ka chance 53%, draw 24% aur Sunderland ka chance 23% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Sunderland?
We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Where can I watch Leeds vs Sunderland?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
What is the score prediction for Leeds vs Sunderland?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.