Premier League 2026/27
Manchester City vs Liverpool prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
47%Man City
25%draw
28%Liverpool
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Man City at 47%.
- Home advantage: Man City have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Etihad Stadium.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).
- Safest bet: Man City or draw (Double chance), about a 72% chance.
Who will win Man City vs Liverpool?
Malik Mumbai predicts Manchester City to beat Liverpool, 1-0. We give Man City a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 08 May 2027 at 19:30 IST at Etihad Stadium.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Man City, 47%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Man City have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Etihad Stadium.
Helps Man City
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Liverpool can't afford to concede first.
Helps Man City
How many goals in Man City vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Man City vs Liverpool
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 72%
Double chance
Man City or draw
Pays out on a Man City win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 56%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Man City 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Manchester City
One of the league's best sides. Man City should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Etihad Stadium, so the question is whether Liverpool can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Away
Liverpool
One of the league's best sides. Liverpool should have most of the ball on the road at Etihad Stadium, so the question is whether Man City can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Liverpool to Manchester City's Etihad Stadium. Our goals model expects 1.62 goals from Man City and 1.21 from Liverpool, which is where the 47% rating for Man City comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Man City and Liverpool: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Man City play 7 days after their game at home to Brentford on 01 May. Their next league game is away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. It is game 35 of 38 for them.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Chelsea on 01 May. Their next league game is at home to Brentford 7 days after this one. It is game 35 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Anfield, was played on Sun, 11 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 01 MayMan City vs BrentfordEtihad Stadium
- 01 MayLiverpool vs ChelseaAnfield
- 08 MayMan City vs LiverpoolEtihad StadiumThis match
- 15 MayIpswich vs Man CityPortman Road
- 15 MayLiverpool vs BrentfordAnfield
More Man City and Liverpool predictions
- 11 OctLiverpool vs Manchester CityPremier League, 21:00 IST
- 15 MayIpswich Town vs Manchester CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayManchester City vs Aston VillaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 15 MayLiverpool vs BrentfordPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 23 MayBrighton & Hove Albion vs LiverpoolPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 08 MayAFC Bournemouth vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
Manchester City vs Liverpool: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Man City vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Manchester City. We rate Man City at 47%, the draw at 25% and Liverpool at 28%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Manchester City vs Liverpool in India?
The game starts at 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 08 May 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Etihad Stadium, Manchester. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Man City vs Liverpool?
Man City or draw is the safer option at 72%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (56%). Check the line-ups before you bet.
Man City vs Liverpool match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Manchester City favourite hain. Man City ka chance 47%, draw 25% aur Liverpool ka chance 28% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
What is the score prediction for Man City vs Liverpool?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Is Manchester City vs Liverpool a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Manchester and Liverpool.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.