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Premier League 2026/27

Leeds United vs Liverpool prediction

We predict 1-2. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

24%Leeds

23%draw

53%Liverpool

Predicted score 1-2 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-2, with Liverpool at 53%.
  • Home advantage: Liverpool are the better side even away from home; Leeds's home crowd only narrows the difference.
  • Goals outlook: Both sides create chances.
  • Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 76% chance.

Who will win Leeds vs Liverpool?

We back Liverpool in Leeds United vs Liverpool, with a predicted score of 1-2 and a 53% win chance. The model expects goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kick-off: Sat, 24 Apr 2027 at 19:30 IST.

Predicted score
1-2
Our pick
Liverpool, 53%
Draw
23%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Liverpool are the better side even away from home; Leeds's home crowd only narrows the difference.

    Helps Even

  • Goals outlook

    Both sides create chances. We expect 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 at 57%, so an open game is more likely than a cagey one.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Liverpool clearly ahead, and the draw is only 23%. If Liverpool score first, Leeds may struggle to come back.

    Helps Liverpool

How many goals in Leeds vs Liverpool?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 58%Over 2.5 goals 57%Expected goals 1.16 / 1.83

Best bets for Leeds vs Liverpool

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 76%

    Double chance

    Liverpool or draw

    Pays out on a Liverpool win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 58%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 58%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Liverpool 1-2

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Leeds United

A solid mid-table side. Leeds are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Elland Road, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Away

Liverpool

One of the league's best sides. Liverpool should have most of the ball on the road at Elland Road, so the question is whether Leeds can stay compact for 90 minutes.

Match preview

Leeds United host Liverpool at Elland Road in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.16 expected goals for Leeds against 1.83 for Liverpool, and that gap drives our 53% rating for Liverpool. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Leeds and Liverpool: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Leeds play 7 days after their game away at Brentford on 17 Apr. Their next league game is away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. It is game 33 of 38 for them.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game away at Forest on 17 Apr. Their next league game is at home to Chelsea 7 days after this one. It is game 33 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Anfield, was played on Sat, 12 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 17 AprBrentford vs LeedsGtech Community Stadium
  2. 17 AprForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  3. 24 AprLeeds vs LiverpoolElland RoadThis match
  4. 01 MayIpswich vs LeedsPortman Road
  5. 01 MayLiverpool vs ChelseaAnfield

More Leeds and Liverpool predictions

FAQ · 7

Leeds United vs Liverpool: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Leeds vs Liverpool?

Liverpool, on our numbers: Leeds 24%, draw 23%, Liverpool 53%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Leeds United vs Liverpool in India?

Kick-off is 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 24 Apr 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Leeds vs Liverpool?

Liverpool or draw is the safer option at 76%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (58%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Leeds vs Liverpool match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Leeds ka chance 24%, draw 23% aur Liverpool ka chance 53% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-2 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals will there be in Leeds United vs Liverpool?

Our model expects 3.0 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 5% chance of a 0-0.

What is the score prediction for Leeds vs Liverpool?

We predict 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.

Where can I watch Leeds vs Liverpool?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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