Premier League, London derby
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
55%Chelsea
25%draw
20%Palace
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Chelsea at 55%.
- Home advantage: Chelsea are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: 2.5 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 46%.
- Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 80% chance.
Who will win Chelsea vs Palace?
We back Chelsea in Chelsea vs Crystal Palace, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 55% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kick-off: Wed, 02 Dec 2026 at 01:30 IST, next day.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Chelsea, 55%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Chelsea are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Stamford Bridge adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Chelsea
Goals outlook
2.5 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 46%.
Helps Even
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Chelsea vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Chelsea vs Palace
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 80%
Double chance
Chelsea or draw
Covers a Chelsea win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 76%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 13%
Correct score
Chelsea 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Chelsea
One of the league's best sides. Chelsea should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Stamford Bridge, so the question is whether Palace can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Away
Crystal Palace
A steady mid-table team, Palace defend well on the road at Stamford Bridge but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Match preview
Crystal Palace visit Stamford Bridge to face Chelsea in the 2026/27 Premier League. As the London derby, it carries extra edge, and derbies are usually tighter than the table suggests. Our goals model expects 1.64 goals from Chelsea and 0.87 from Palace, which is where the 55% rating for Chelsea comes from. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Chelsea and Palace: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Chelsea play 5 days after their game away at Forest on 27 Nov. Their next league game is at home to Liverpool 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 13 of 38 for them.
Palace play 3 days after their game at home to Hull on 29 Nov, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Villa 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 13 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Selhurst Park, is on Wed, 06 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.
- 27 NovForest vs ChelseaCity Ground
- 29 NovPalace vs HullSelhurst Park
- 02 DecChelsea vs PalaceStamford BridgeThis match
- 05 DecChelsea vs LiverpoolStamford Bridge
- 05 DecVilla vs PalaceVilla Park
More Chelsea and Palace predictions
- 06 JanCrystal Palace vs ChelseaPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 05 DecChelsea vs LiverpoolPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 12 DecManchester City vs ChelseaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 DecAston Villa vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 20:30 IST
- 12 DecCrystal Palace vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 02 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Chelsea vs Palace?
We back Chelsea. Malik Mumbai's model gives Chelsea 55%, the draw 25% and Palace 20%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Chelsea vs Crystal Palace in India?
The game starts at 01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 02 Dec 2026, which is 20:00 in the UK, at Stamford Bridge, London. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Chelsea vs Palace?
Our safer bet is Chelsea or draw (80%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (76%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Chelsea vs Palace match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Chelsea ka chance 55%, draw 25% aur Palace ka chance 20% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Palace?
We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it leans no. Over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs Palace?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-0 at 13%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.