Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
64%Villa
21%draw
15%Palace
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Villa at 64%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Villa get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Villa Park.
- Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 52%.
- Safest bet: Villa or draw (Double chance), about a 85% chance.
Who will win Villa vs Palace?
Our Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace prediction is 1-0. Villa are 64% to win, the draw is 21%, and both teams score in 48% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 05 Dec 2026 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Villa, 64%
- Draw
- 21%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Villa get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Villa Park.
Helps Villa
Goals outlook
2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 52%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Villa are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 21%. An early goal for them would be hard for Palace to overturn.
Helps Villa
How many goals in Villa vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Villa vs Palace
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 85%
Double chance
Villa or draw
Covers a Villa win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 52%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 12%
Correct score
Villa 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Aston Villa
Organised and dependable, Villa usually win in front of their own fans at Villa Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Away
Crystal Palace
A steady mid-table team, Palace defend well on the road at Villa Park but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Crystal Palace to Aston Villa's Villa Park. We project 1.96 expected goals for Villa against 0.81 for Palace, and that gap drives our 64% rating for Villa. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Villa and Palace: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Villa play 3 days after their game at home to Everton on 02 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Coventry 7 days after this one. It is game 14 of 38 for them.
Palace play 3 days after their game away at Chelsea on 02 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Man Utd 7 days after this one. It is game 14 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Selhurst Park, is on Sat, 01 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.
- 02 DecVilla vs EvertonVilla Park
- 02 DecChelsea vs PalaceStamford Bridge
- 05 DecVilla vs PalaceVilla ParkThis match
- 12 DecCoventry vs VillaCoventry Building Society Arena
- 12 DecPalace vs Man UtdSelhurst Park
More Villa and Palace predictions
- 01 MayCrystal Palace vs Aston VillaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 12 DecCoventry City vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 19 DecChelsea vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 12 DecCrystal Palace vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 19 DecSunderland vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Hull CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Villa vs Palace?
We back Aston Villa. Malik Mumbai's model gives Villa 64%, the draw 21% and Palace 15%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace in India?
Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Villa Park in Birmingham. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Villa vs Palace?
For a safer bet, Villa or draw (85%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (52%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Villa vs Palace match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Aston Villa favourite hain. Villa ka chance 64%, draw 21% aur Palace ka chance 15% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Where can I watch Villa vs Palace?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.