Malik MumbaiMalikMumbai

Premier League 2026/27

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa prediction

Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

40%Palace

25%draw

35%Villa

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Palace at 40%.
  • Home advantage: Palace have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Selhurst Park.
  • Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 53%.
  • Safest bet: Palace or draw (Double chance), about a 65% chance.

Who will win Palace vs Villa?

We back Palace in Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 40% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kick-off: Sat, 01 May 2027 at 19:30 IST.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Palace, 40%
Draw
25%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Palace have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Selhurst Park.

    Helps Palace

  • Goals outlook

    Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 53%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Palace are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 25%. An early goal for them would be hard for Villa to overturn.

    Helps Palace

How many goals in Palace vs Villa?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 57%Over 2.5 goals 53%Expected goals 1.47 / 1.34

Best bets for Palace vs Villa

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 65%

    Double chance

    Palace or draw

    Wins if Palace win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 57%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 57%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 9%

    Correct score

    Palace 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

A solid mid-table side. Palace are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Selhurst Park, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Away

Aston Villa

Villa are a well-coached side that grinds out results on the road at Selhurst Park, built on a strong midfield.

Match preview

Aston Villa visit Selhurst Park to face Crystal Palace in the 2026/27 Premier League. Our goals model expects 1.47 goals from Palace and 1.34 from Villa, which is where the 40% rating for Palace comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Palace and Villa: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Palace play 7 days after their game away at Man Utd on 24 Apr. Their next league game is away at Forest 7 days after this one. It is game 34 of 38 for them.

Villa play 7 days after their game at home to Coventry on 24 Apr. Their next league game is away at Brentford 7 days after this one. It is game 34 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Villa Park, was played on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 24 AprMan Utd vs PalaceOld Trafford
  2. 24 AprVilla vs CoventryVilla Park
  3. 01 MayPalace vs VillaSelhurst ParkThis match
  4. 08 MayForest vs PalaceCity Ground
  5. 08 MayBrentford vs VillaGtech Community Stadium

More Palace and Villa predictions

FAQ · 7

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Palace vs Villa?

We back Crystal Palace. Malik Mumbai's model gives Palace 40%, the draw 25% and Villa 35%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa in India?

The game starts at 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 01 May 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Selhurst Park, London. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Palace vs Villa?

Palace or draw is the safer option at 65%. The value pick is both teams to score: Yes (57%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Palace vs Villa match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Crystal Palace favourite hain. Palace ka chance 40%, draw 25% aur Villa ka chance 35% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Birmingham.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Will both teams score in Palace vs Villa?

We rate both teams to score at 57%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

1