Premier League, London derby
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea prediction
Our predicted score is 0-1. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
34%Palace
27%draw
39%Chelsea
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Chelsea at 39%.
- Home advantage: Chelsea are the better side even away from home; Palace's home crowd only narrows the difference.
- Goals outlook: We expect only 2.5 goals. With over 2.5 at just 45%, a low-scoring game is the more likely story.
- Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 66% chance.
Who will win Palace vs Chelsea?
Our Crystal Palace vs Chelsea prediction is 0-1. Chelsea are 39% to win, the draw is 27%, and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. The match kicks off Wed, 06 Jan 2027 at 01:00 IST, next day.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Chelsea, 39%
- Draw
- 27%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Chelsea are the better side even away from home; Palace's home crowd only narrows the difference.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
We expect only 2.5 goals. With over 2.5 at just 45%, a low-scoring game is the more likely story.
Helps Few goals
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Palace vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Palace vs Chelsea
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 66%
Double chance
Chelsea or draw
Pays out on a Chelsea win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 77%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Chelsea 0-1
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Palace are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Selhurst Park, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Away
Chelsea
A title-level side, Chelsea will expect to dominate possession on the road at Selhurst Park. Palace need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Chelsea to Crystal Palace's Selhurst Park. As the London derby, it carries extra edge, and derbies are usually tighter than the table suggests. Our goals model expects 1.18 goals from Palace and 1.28 from Chelsea, which is where the 39% rating for Chelsea comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Palace and Chelsea: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Palace play 4 days after their game away at Brentford on 02 Jan. Their next league game is away at Liverpool 10 days after this one. It is game 20 of 38 for them.
Chelsea play 3 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 03 Jan, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Sunderland 10 days after this one. It is game 20 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Stamford Bridge, was played on Wed, 02 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 02 JanBrentford vs PalaceGtech Community Stadium
- 03 JanChelsea vs NewcastleStamford Bridge
- 06 JanPalace vs ChelseaSelhurst ParkThis match
- 16 JanLiverpool vs PalaceAnfield
- 16 JanChelsea vs SunderlandStamford Bridge
More Palace and Chelsea predictions
- 02 DecChelsea vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 16 JanLiverpool vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 20:30 IST
- 23 JanCrystal Palace vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 16 JanChelsea vs SunderlandPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 23 JanLeeds United vs ChelseaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 06 JanFulham vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Palace vs Chelsea?
Our pick is Chelsea. We rate Palace at 34%, the draw at 27% and Chelsea at 39%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Crystal Palace vs Chelsea in India?
Kick-off is 01:00 IST, next day India time on Wed, 06 Jan 2027 (19:30 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Palace vs Chelsea?
Our safer bet is Chelsea or draw (66%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (77%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Palace vs Chelsea match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Palace ka chance 34%, draw 27% aur Chelsea ka chance 39% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Crystal Palace vs Chelsea a derby?
Yes, it is the London derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?
Our model expects 2.5 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 9% chance of a 0-0.
What is the score prediction for Palace vs Chelsea?
We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 13%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.