Malik MumbaiMalikMumbai

Premier League 2026/27

Chelsea vs Sunderland prediction

Our predicted score is 2-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

75%Chelsea

16%draw

9%Sunderland

Predicted score 2-0 (half-time 1-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 2-0, with Chelsea at 75%.
  • Home advantage: Chelsea are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
  • Goals outlook: Both sides create chances.
  • Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 91% chance.

Who will win Chelsea vs Sunderland?

We back Chelsea in Chelsea vs Sunderland, with a predicted score of 2-0 and a 75% win chance. The model expects goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kick-off: Sat, 16 Jan 2027 at 20:30 IST.

Predicted score
2-0
Our pick
Chelsea, 75%
Draw
16%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Chelsea are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Stamford Bridge adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.

    Helps Chelsea

  • Goals outlook

    Both sides create chances. We expect 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 at 62%, so an open game is more likely than a cagey one.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Chelsea clearly ahead, and the draw is only 16%. If Chelsea score first, Sunderland may struggle to come back.

    Helps Chelsea

How many goals in Chelsea vs Sunderland?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 48%Over 2.5 goals 62%Expected goals 2.44 / 0.74

Best bets for Chelsea vs Sunderland

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 91%

    Double chance

    Chelsea or draw

    Wins if Chelsea win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 62%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 3.2 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 12%

    Correct score

    Chelsea 2-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball in front of their own fans at Stamford Bridge, leaving Sunderland to defend for long spells.

Away

Sunderland

A solid mid-table side. Sunderland are hard to break down on the road at Stamford Bridge, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings Sunderland to Chelsea's Stamford Bridge. We project 2.44 expected goals for Chelsea against 0.74 for Sunderland, and that gap drives our 75% rating for Chelsea. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Chelsea and Sunderland: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Chelsea play 10 days after their game away at Palace on 06 Jan. Their next league game is away at Leeds 7 days after this one. It is game 21 of 38 for them.

Sunderland play 11 days after their game at home to Liverpool on 05 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Coventry 7 days after this one. It is game 21 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Stadium of Light, was played on Sun, 08 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolStadium of Light
  2. 06 JanPalace vs ChelseaSelhurst Park
  3. 16 JanChelsea vs SunderlandStamford BridgeThis match
  4. 23 JanLeeds vs ChelseaElland Road
  5. 23 JanSunderland vs CoventryStadium of Light

More Chelsea and Sunderland predictions

FAQ · 7

Chelsea vs Sunderland: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Chelsea vs Sunderland?

We back Chelsea. Malik Mumbai's model gives Chelsea 75%, the draw 16% and Sunderland 9%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Chelsea vs Sunderland in India?

Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Stamford Bridge in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Chelsea vs Sunderland?

For a safer bet, Chelsea or draw (91%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (62%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Chelsea vs Sunderland match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Chelsea ka chance 75%, draw 16% aur Sunderland ka chance 9% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Sunderland?

We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it leans no. Over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Where can I watch Chelsea vs Sunderland?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

1