Premier League, North London derby
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
37%Spurs
27%draw
36%Arsenal
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Spurs at 37%.
- Home advantage: Spurs are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: Goals look scarce: 2.4 expected, with over 2.5 at just 44%.
- Safest bet: Spurs or draw (Double chance), about a 64% chance.
Who will win Spurs vs Arsenal?
We back Spurs in Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 37% win chance. The model expects a tight game, with over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Spurs, 37%
- Draw
- 27%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Spurs are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Spurs
Goals outlook
Goals look scarce: 2.4 expected, with over 2.5 at just 44%.
Helps Few goals
Derby factor
The North London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Spurs vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Spurs vs Arsenal
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 64%
Double chance
Spurs or draw
Covers a Spurs win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 77%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Spurs 1-0
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
A strong, well-drilled team. Spurs tend to win games in front of their own fans at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Away
Arsenal
A title-level side, Arsenal will expect to dominate possession on the road at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Spurs need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Match preview
Arsenal visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to face Tottenham Hotspur in the 2026/27 Premier League. As the North London derby, it carries extra edge, and derbies are usually tighter than the table suggests. We project 1.23 expected goals for Spurs against 1.20 for Arsenal, and that gap drives our 37% rating for Spurs. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Spurs and Arsenal: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Spurs play 3 days after their game at home to Fulham on 02 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Hull 7 days after this one. It is game 14 of 38 for them.
Arsenal play 3 days after their game away at Brentford on 02 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Bournemouth 7 days after this one. It is game 14 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Emirates Stadium, is on Sat, 01 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.
- 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 02 DecBrentford vs ArsenalGtech Community Stadium
- 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur StadiumThis match
- 12 DecHull vs SpursMKM Stadium
- 12 DecArsenal vs BournemouthEmirates Stadium
More Spurs and Arsenal predictions
- 01 MayArsenal vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 12 DecHull City vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 19 DecLiverpool vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 12 DecArsenal vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 19 DecArsenal vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Hull CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Spurs vs Arsenal?
Our pick is Tottenham Hotspur. We rate Spurs at 37%, the draw at 27% and Arsenal at 36%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal in India?
Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Spurs vs Arsenal?
For a safer bet, Spurs or draw (64%). For value, total goals: Under 3.5 (77%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Spurs vs Arsenal match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Tottenham Hotspur favourite hain. Spurs ka chance 37%, draw 27% aur Arsenal ka chance 36% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Will both teams score in Spurs vs Arsenal?
We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it leans no. Over 2.5 goals is 44%.
Where can I watch Spurs vs Arsenal?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.