Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs Manchester United prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
57%Arsenal
22%draw
21%Man Utd
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Arsenal at 57%.
- Home advantage: Arsenal are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: Both sides create chances.
- Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 79% chance.
Who will win Arsenal vs Man Utd?
Malik Mumbai predicts Arsenal to beat Manchester United, 1-0. We give Arsenal a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22%, and expect about 2.9 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 19 Dec 2026 at 20:30 IST at Emirates Stadium.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Arsenal, 57%
- Draw
- 22%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Arsenal are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Emirates Stadium adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Arsenal
Goals outlook
Both sides create chances. We expect 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 at 55%, so an open game is more likely than a cagey one.
Helps Goals
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 22%. Man Utd can't afford to concede first.
Helps Arsenal
How many goals in Arsenal vs Man Utd?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Man Utd
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 79%
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Covers a Arsenal win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 55%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 2.9 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Arsenal 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
One of the league's best sides. Arsenal should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium, so the question is whether Man Utd can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Away
Manchester United
A strong, well-drilled team. Man Utd tend to win games on the road at Emirates Stadium by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Match preview
Manchester United visit Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal in the 2026/27 Premier League. Our goals model expects 1.86 goals from Arsenal and 1.03 from Man Utd, which is where the 57% rating for Arsenal comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Arsenal and Man Utd: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Arsenal play 7 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 12 Dec. Their next league game is away at Palace 8 days after this one. It is game 16 of 38 for them.
Man Utd play 7 days after their game away at Palace on 12 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Forest 8 days after this one. It is game 16 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Old Trafford, is on Sat, 27 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season.
- 12 DecArsenal vs BournemouthEmirates Stadium
- 12 DecPalace vs Man UtdSelhurst Park
- 19 DecArsenal vs Man UtdEmirates StadiumThis match
- 27 DecMan Utd vs ForestOld Trafford
- 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park
More Arsenal and Man Utd predictions
- 27 FebManchester United vs ArsenalPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 27 DecCrystal Palace vs ArsenalPremier League, 00:30 IST, next day
- 30 DecFulham vs ArsenalPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 27 DecManchester United vs Nottingham ForestPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 30 DecManchester United vs SunderlandPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 19 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Coventry CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
Arsenal vs Manchester United: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Arsenal vs Man Utd?
We back Arsenal. Malik Mumbai's model gives Arsenal 57%, the draw 22% and Man Utd 21%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Arsenal vs Manchester United in India?
Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (15:00 in the UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Man Utd?
Our safer bet is Arsenal or draw (79%). For more value we like total goals: Over 2.5 (55%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Arsenal vs Man Utd match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 57%, draw 22% aur Man Utd ka chance 21% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Man Utd?
We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 55%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Manchester United?
Our model expects 2.9 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.