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Premier League, London derby

Fulham vs Arsenal prediction

0-1 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

23%Fulham

26%draw

51%Arsenal

Predicted score 0-1 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Arsenal at 51%.
  • Home advantage: Arsenal are the better side even away from home; Fulham's home crowd only narrows the difference.
  • Goals outlook: 2.5 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 46%.
  • Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 77% chance.

Who will win Fulham vs Arsenal?

Malik Mumbai predicts Arsenal to beat Fulham, 0-1. We give Arsenal a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26%, and expect about 2.5 goals in total. Kick-off is Wed, 30 Dec 2026 at 01:00 IST, next day at Craven Cottage.

Predicted score
0-1
Our pick
Arsenal, 51%
Draw
26%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Arsenal are the better side even away from home; Fulham's home crowd only narrows the difference.

    Helps Even

  • Goals outlook

    2.5 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 46%.

    Helps Even

  • Derby factor

    The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.

    Helps Draw

How many goals in Fulham vs Arsenal?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 49%Over 2.5 goals 46%Expected goals 0.96 / 1.56

Best bets for Fulham vs Arsenal

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 77%

    Double chance

    Arsenal or draw

    Covers a Arsenal win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 75%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 13%

    Correct score

    Arsenal 0-1

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Fulham

A steady mid-table team, Fulham defend well in front of their own fans at Craven Cottage but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Away

Arsenal

A title-level side, Arsenal will expect to dominate possession on the road at Craven Cottage. Fulham need discipline for the full 90 minutes.

Match preview

Arsenal visit Craven Cottage to face Fulham in the 2026/27 Premier League. It is the London derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. We project 0.96 expected goals for Fulham against 1.56 for Arsenal, and that gap drives our 51% rating for Arsenal. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Fulham and Arsenal: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Fulham play 4 days after their game at home to Brighton on 26 Dec. Their next league game is away at Forest 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.

Arsenal play 3 days after their game away at Palace on 27 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Ipswich 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Emirates Stadium, is on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.

  1. 26 DecFulham vs BrightonCraven Cottage
  2. 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park
  3. 30 DecFulham vs ArsenalCraven CottageThis match
  4. 02 JanForest vs FulhamCity Ground
  5. 02 JanArsenal vs IpswichEmirates Stadium

More Fulham and Arsenal predictions

FAQ · 7

Fulham vs Arsenal: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Fulham vs Arsenal?

We back Arsenal. Malik Mumbai's model gives Fulham 23%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 51%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Fulham vs Arsenal in India?

Wed, 30 Dec 2026, 01:00 IST, next day India time (19:30 UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Fulham vs Arsenal?

Our safer bet is Arsenal or draw (77%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (75%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Fulham vs Arsenal match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Fulham ka chance 23%, draw 26% aur Arsenal ka chance 51% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Fulham vs Arsenal?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Arsenal?

Our model expects 2.5 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 8% chance of a 0-0.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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