Premier League, London derby
Arsenal vs Brentford prediction
We predict 2-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
71%Arsenal
19%draw
10%Brentford
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 2-0, with Arsenal at 71%.
- Home advantage: Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
- Goals outlook: 2.6 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 48%.
- Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 90% chance.
Who will win Arsenal vs Brentford?
Our Arsenal vs Brentford prediction is 2-0. Arsenal are 71% to win, the draw is 19%, and both teams score in 39% of our simulations. The match kicks off Tue, 05 Jan 2027 at 01:00 IST, next day.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Our pick
- Arsenal, 71%
- Draw
- 19%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
Helps Arsenal
Goals outlook
2.6 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 48%.
Helps Even
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Arsenal vs Brentford?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Brentford
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 90%
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Wins if Arsenal win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 74%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 15%
Correct score
Arsenal 2-0
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
One of the league's best sides. Arsenal should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium, so the question is whether Brentford can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Away
Brentford
Brentford are tough to score against on the road at Emirates Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Match preview
Brentford visit Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal in the 2026/27 Premier League. As the London derby, it carries extra edge, and derbies are usually tighter than the table suggests. Arsenal get a 71% rating from our model, which expects 2.01 goals from Arsenal and 0.59 from Brentford. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Arsenal and Brentford: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Arsenal play 3 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 02 Jan, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Hull 11 days after this one. It is game 20 of 38 for them.
Brentford play 3 days after their game at home to Palace on 02 Jan, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Brighton 11 days after this one. It is game 20 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Gtech Community Stadium, was played on Wed, 02 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 02 JanArsenal vs IpswichEmirates Stadium
- 02 JanBrentford vs PalaceGtech Community Stadium
- 05 JanArsenal vs BrentfordEmirates StadiumThis match
- 16 JanHull vs ArsenalMKM Stadium
- 16 JanBrentford vs BrightonGtech Community Stadium
More Arsenal and Brentford predictions
- 02 DecBrentford vs ArsenalPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 16 JanHull City vs ArsenalPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 23 JanArsenal vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 16 JanBrentford vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 23 JanEverton vs BrentfordPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 JanBrighton & Hove Albion vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
Arsenal vs Brentford: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Arsenal vs Brentford?
Our pick is Arsenal. We rate Arsenal at 71%, the draw at 19% and Brentford at 10%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Arsenal vs Brentford in India?
Kick-off is 01:00 IST, next day India time on Tue, 05 Jan 2027 (19:30 in the UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Brentford?
Arsenal or draw is the safer option at 90%. The value pick is total goals: Under 3.5 (74%). Check the line-ups before you bet.
Arsenal vs Brentford match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 71%, draw 19% aur Brentford ka chance 10% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Brentford?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
What is the score prediction for Arsenal vs Brentford?
We predict 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 2-0 at 15%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Brentford?
We rate both teams to score at 39%, so it leans no. Over 2.5 goals is 48%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.