Premier League, London derby
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal prediction
Our predicted score is 0-1. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
32%Palace
27%draw
41%Arsenal
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Arsenal at 41%.
- Home advantage: Palace have home support, but Arsenal are strong enough to overcome it.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.5 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 46%.
- Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 68% chance.
Who will win Palace vs Arsenal?
Malik Mumbai predicts Arsenal to beat Crystal Palace, 0-1. We give Arsenal a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27%, and expect about 2.5 goals in total. Kick-off is Sun, 27 Dec 2026 at 00:30 IST, next day at Selhurst Park.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Arsenal, 41%
- Draw
- 27%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Palace have home support, but Arsenal are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.5 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 46%.
Helps Even
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Palace vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Palace vs Arsenal
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 68%
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Covers a Arsenal win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 75%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Arsenal 0-1
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Palace are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Selhurst Park, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Away
Arsenal
Arsenal are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball on the road at Selhurst Park, leaving Palace to defend for long spells.
Match preview
Crystal Palace host Arsenal at Selhurst Park in the Premier League 2026/27. It is the London derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. We project 1.17 expected goals for Palace against 1.34 for Arsenal, and that gap drives our 41% rating for Arsenal. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Palace and Arsenal: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Palace play 8 days after their game away at Sunderland on 19 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Bournemouth 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 17 of 38 for them.
Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 19 Dec. Their next league game is away at Fulham 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 17 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Emirates Stadium, is on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 19 DecSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
- 19 DecArsenal vs Man UtdEmirates Stadium
- 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst ParkThis match
- 30 DecPalace vs BournemouthSelhurst Park
- 30 DecFulham vs ArsenalCraven Cottage
More Palace and Arsenal predictions
- 03 MarArsenal vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 30 DecCrystal Palace vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 02 JanBrentford vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 20:30 IST
- 30 DecFulham vs ArsenalPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 02 JanArsenal vs Ipswich TownPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 27 DecCoventry City vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Palace vs Arsenal?
We back Arsenal. Malik Mumbai's model gives Palace 32%, the draw 27% and Arsenal 41%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Crystal Palace vs Arsenal in India?
Kick-off is 00:30 IST, next day India time on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 (19:00 in the UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Palace vs Arsenal?
For a safer bet, Arsenal or draw (68%). For value, total goals: Under 3.5 (75%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Palace vs Arsenal match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Palace ka chance 32%, draw 27% aur Arsenal ka chance 41% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
What is the score prediction for Palace vs Arsenal?
We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 13%.
Is Crystal Palace vs Arsenal a derby?
Yes, it is the London derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.