Premier League, London derby
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
64%Arsenal
22%draw
14%Palace
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Arsenal at 64%.
- Home advantage: Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
- Goals outlook: At 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (46% for the over).
- Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 86% chance.
Who will win Arsenal vs Palace?
Malik Mumbai predicts Arsenal to beat Crystal Palace, 1-0. We give Arsenal a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22%, and expect about 2.5 goals in total. Kick-off is Wed, 03 Mar 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day at Emirates Stadium.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Arsenal, 64%
- Draw
- 22%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Arsenal have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Emirates Stadium.
Helps Arsenal
Goals outlook
At 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (46% for the over).
Helps Even
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Arsenal vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Palace
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 86%
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Covers a Arsenal win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 76%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 15%
Correct score
Arsenal 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
Arsenal are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium, leaving Palace to defend for long spells.
Away
Crystal Palace
A solid mid-table side. Palace are hard to break down on the road at Emirates Stadium, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Match preview
Crystal Palace visit Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal in the 2026/27 Premier League. It is the London derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. Arsenal get a 64% rating from our model, which expects 1.81 goals from Arsenal and 0.69 from Palace. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Arsenal and Palace: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Arsenal play 4 days after their game away at Man Utd on 27 Feb. Their next league game is away at Chelsea 10 days after this one. It is game 28 of 38 for them.
Palace play 4 days after their game at home to Sunderland on 27 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Fulham 10 days after this one. It is game 28 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Selhurst Park, was played on Sun, 27 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 27 FebMan Utd vs ArsenalOld Trafford
- 27 FebPalace vs SunderlandSelhurst Park
- 03 MarArsenal vs PalaceEmirates StadiumThis match
- 13 MarChelsea vs ArsenalStamford Bridge
- 13 MarPalace vs FulhamSelhurst Park
More Arsenal and Palace predictions
- 27 DecCrystal Palace vs ArsenalPremier League, 00:30 IST, next day
- 13 MarChelsea vs ArsenalPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 20 MarArsenal vs SunderlandPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 13 MarCrystal Palace vs FulhamPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 20 MarIpswich Town vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 20:30 IST
- 03 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Arsenal vs Palace?
Arsenal, on our numbers: Arsenal 64%, draw 22%, Palace 14%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Arsenal vs Crystal Palace in India?
The game starts at 01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, which is 20:00 in the UK, at Emirates Stadium, London. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Palace?
Our safer bet is Arsenal or draw (86%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (76%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Arsenal vs Palace match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 64%, draw 22% aur Palace ka chance 14% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Arsenal vs Crystal Palace a derby?
Yes, it is the London derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Palace?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.