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Premier League 2026/27

Everton vs Leeds United prediction

We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

51%Everton

24%draw

25%Leeds

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Everton at 51%.
  • Home advantage: Everton are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
  • Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.
  • Safest bet: Everton or draw (Double chance), about a 75% chance.

Who will win Everton vs Leeds?

We back Everton in Everton vs Leeds United, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 51% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kick-off: Wed, 10 Feb 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Everton, 51%
Draw
24%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Everton are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Hill Dickinson Stadium adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.

    Helps Everton

  • Goals outlook

    Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 52%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 24%. Leeds can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Everton

How many goals in Everton vs Leeds?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 52%Expected goals 1.68 / 1.09

Best bets for Everton vs Leeds

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 75%

    Double chance

    Everton or draw

    Wins if Everton win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 52%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 11%

    Correct score

    Everton 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Everton

Everton are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Hill Dickinson Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Away

Leeds United

A solid mid-table side. Leeds are hard to break down on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Match preview

Everton host Leeds United at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. Everton get a 51% rating from our model, which expects 1.68 goals from Everton and 1.09 from Leeds. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Everton and Leeds: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 4 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 06 Feb. Their next league game is away at Sunderland 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.

Leeds play 4 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 06 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Villa 10 days after this one. It is game 25 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Elland Road, was played on Fri, 01 Jan 2027, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium
  2. 06 FebLeeds vs BournemouthElland Road
  3. 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson StadiumThis match
  4. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of Light
  5. 20 FebLeeds vs VillaElland Road

More Everton and Leeds predictions

FAQ · 7

Everton vs Leeds United: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Everton vs Leeds?

We back Everton. Malik Mumbai's model gives Everton 51%, the draw 24% and Leeds 25%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Everton vs Leeds United in India?

Wed, 10 Feb 2027, 01:30 IST, next day India time (20:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Leeds?

Our safer bet is Everton or draw (75%). For more value we like total goals: Over 2.5 (52%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Everton vs Leeds match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Everton favourite hain. Everton ka chance 51%, draw 24% aur Leeds ka chance 25% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Where can I watch Everton vs Leeds?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

Is Everton vs Leeds United a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Liverpool and Leeds.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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