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Premier League 2026/27

Leeds United vs Everton prediction

1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

44%Leeds

26%draw

30%Everton

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Leeds at 44%.
  • Home advantage: Leeds are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
  • Goals outlook: 2.7 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 50%.
  • Safest bet: Leeds or draw (Double chance), about a 70% chance.

Who will win Leeds vs Everton?

Malik Mumbai predicts Leeds United to beat Everton, 1-0. We give Leeds a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26%, and expect about 2.7 goals in total. Kick-off is Fri, 01 Jan 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day at Elland Road.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Leeds, 44%
Draw
26%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Leeds are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Elland Road adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.

    Helps Leeds

  • Goals outlook

    2.7 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 50%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Leeds clearly ahead, and the draw is only 26%. If Leeds score first, Everton may struggle to come back.

    Helps Leeds

How many goals in Leeds vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 50%Expected goals 1.50 / 1.18

Best bets for Leeds vs Everton

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 70%

    Double chance

    Leeds or draw

    Pays out on a Leeds win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 72%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Leeds 1-0

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Leeds United

A solid mid-table side. Leeds are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Elland Road, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Away

Everton

Everton are tough to score against on the road at Elland Road, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Match preview

Leeds United host Everton at Elland Road in the Premier League 2026/27. Leeds get a 44% rating from our model, which expects 1.50 goals from Leeds and 1.18 from Everton. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Leeds and Everton: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Leeds play 3 days after their game away at Hull on 29 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Man City 5 days after this one. It is game 19 of 38 for them.

Everton play 3 days after their game at home to Man City on 29 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Villa 4 days after this one. It is game 19 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, is on Wed, 10 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.

  1. 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM Stadium
  2. 29 DecEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 01 JanLeeds vs EvertonElland RoadThis match
  4. 05 JanEverton vs VillaHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 06 JanLeeds vs Man CityElland Road

More Leeds and Everton predictions

FAQ · 7

Leeds United vs Everton: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Leeds vs Everton?

Our pick is Leeds United. We rate Leeds at 44%, the draw at 26% and Everton at 30%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Leeds United vs Everton in India?

The game starts at 01:30 IST, next day India time on Fri, 01 Jan 2027, which is 20:00 in the UK, at Elland Road, Leeds. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Leeds vs Everton?

Leeds or draw is the safer option at 70%. The value pick is total goals: Under 3.5 (72%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Leeds vs Everton match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Leeds United favourite hain. Leeds ka chance 44%, draw 26% aur Everton ka chance 30% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Is Leeds United vs Everton a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Leeds and Liverpool.

What is the score prediction for Leeds vs Everton?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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