Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Leeds United prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
41%Hull
25%draw
34%Leeds
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Hull at 41%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Hull get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at MKM Stadium.
- Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.
- Safest bet: Hull or draw (Double chance), about a 66% chance.
Who will win Hull vs Leeds?
Our Hull City vs Leeds United prediction is 1-0. Hull are 41% to win, the draw is 25%, and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. The match kicks off Tue, 29 Dec 2026 at 01:00 IST, next day.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Hull, 41%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Hull get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at MKM Stadium.
Helps Hull
Goals outlook
2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Leeds can't afford to concede first.
Helps Hull
How many goals in Hull vs Leeds?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Hull vs Leeds
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 66%
Double chance
Hull or draw
Wins if Hull win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 57%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 57%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Hull 1-0
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home, promoted this season
Hull City
Still adjusting to the top flight, Hull will probably defend in numbers in front of their own fans at MKM Stadium and pick their moments to break.
Away
Leeds United
Leeds are tough to score against on the road at MKM Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Match preview
Hull City host Leeds United at MKM Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.49 goals from Hull and 1.32 from Leeds, which is where the 41% rating for Hull comes from. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Hull and Leeds: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Hull play 3 days after their game at home to Liverpool on 26 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Sunderland 4 days after this one. It is game 18 of 38 for them.
Leeds play 3 days after their game away at Villa on 26 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Everton 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Elland Road, is on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 26 DecVilla vs LeedsVilla Park
- 26 DecHull vs LiverpoolMKM Stadium
- 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM StadiumThis match
- 01 JanLeeds vs EvertonElland Road
- 02 JanSunderland vs HullStadium of Light
More Hull and Leeds predictions
- 03 MarLeeds United vs Hull CityPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 02 JanSunderland vs Hull CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 JanNottingham Forest vs Hull CityPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 01 JanLeeds United vs EvertonPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 06 JanLeeds United vs Manchester CityPremier League, 01:45 IST, next day
- 29 DecTottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
Hull City vs Leeds United: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Hull vs Leeds?
We back Hull City. Malik Mumbai's model gives Hull 41%, the draw 25% and Leeds 34%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Hull City vs Leeds United in India?
Tue, 29 Dec 2026, 01:00 IST, next day India time (19:30 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Hull vs Leeds?
Our safer bet is Hull or draw (66%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (57%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Hull vs Leeds match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Hull City favourite hain. Hull ka chance 41%, draw 25% aur Leeds ka chance 34% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Leeds?
We rate both teams to score at 57%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Leeds United?
Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.