Malik MumbaiMalikMumbai

Premier League 2026/27

Leeds United vs Hull City prediction

1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

55%Leeds

23%draw

22%Hull

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Leeds at 55%.
  • Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Leeds get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Elland Road.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Leeds or draw (Double chance), about a 78% chance.

Who will win Leeds vs Hull?

Malik Mumbai predicts Leeds United to beat Hull City, 1-0. We give Leeds a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Wed, 03 Mar 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day at Elland Road.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Leeds, 55%
Draw
23%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    On top of being the stronger side, Leeds get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Elland Road.

    Helps Leeds

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (54% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Leeds clearly ahead, and the draw is only 23%. If Leeds score first, Hull may struggle to come back.

    Helps Leeds

How many goals in Leeds vs Hull?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 54%Expected goals 1.78 / 1.05

Best bets for Leeds vs Hull

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 78%

    Double chance

    Leeds or draw

    Pays out on a Leeds win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 54%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 11%

    Correct score

    Leeds 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Leeds United

A solid mid-table side. Leeds are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Elland Road, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Away, promoted this season

Hull City

New to the division this season. Expect Hull to keep men behind the ball on the road at Elland Road and look for set pieces and fast breaks.

Match preview

Leeds United host Hull City at Elland Road in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.78 goals from Leeds and 1.05 from Hull, which is where the 55% rating for Leeds comes from. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Leeds and Hull: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Leeds play 4 days after their game away at Fulham on 27 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Brighton 10 days after this one. It is game 28 of 38 for them.

Hull play 4 days after their game at home to Man City on 27 Feb. Their next league game is away at Villa 10 days after this one. It is game 28 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at MKM Stadium, was played on Tue, 29 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 27 FebFulham vs LeedsCraven Cottage
  2. 27 FebHull vs Man CityMKM Stadium
  3. 03 MarLeeds vs HullElland RoadThis match
  4. 13 MarLeeds vs BrightonElland Road
  5. 13 MarVilla vs HullVilla Park

More Leeds and Hull predictions

FAQ · 7

Leeds United vs Hull City: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Leeds vs Hull?

Leeds United, on our numbers: Leeds 55%, draw 23%, Hull 22%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Leeds United vs Hull City in India?

Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 01:30 IST, next day India time (20:00 UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Leeds vs Hull?

For a safer bet, Leeds or draw (78%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (54%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Leeds vs Hull match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Leeds United favourite hain. Leeds ka chance 55%, draw 23% aur Hull ka chance 22% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Leeds United vs Hull City a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Leeds and Hull.

Will both teams score in Leeds vs Hull?

We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.

What is the score prediction for Leeds vs Hull?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

1