Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Leeds United prediction
Our predicted score is 2-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
68%Newcastle
19%draw
13%Leeds
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 2-0, with Newcastle at 68%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
- Goals outlook: With 3.0 expected goals and over 2.5 at 57%, this looks more open than tight.
- Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 87% chance.
Who will win Newcastle vs Leeds?
We back Newcastle in Newcastle United vs Leeds United, with a predicted score of 2-0 and a 68% win chance. The model expects goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kick-off: Sat, 20 Mar 2027 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Our pick
- Newcastle, 68%
- Draw
- 19%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
Helps Newcastle
Goals outlook
With 3.0 expected goals and over 2.5 at 57%, this looks more open than tight.
Helps Goals
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 19%. Leeds can't afford to concede first.
Helps Newcastle
How many goals in Newcastle vs Leeds?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Newcastle vs Leeds
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 87%
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Pays out on a Newcastle win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 57%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 3.0 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 12%
Correct score
Newcastle 2-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win in front of their own fans at St James' Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Away
Leeds United
Leeds are tough to score against on the road at St James' Park, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Match preview
Leeds United visit St James' Park to face Newcastle United in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 2.14 expected goals for Newcastle against 0.82 for Leeds, and that gap drives our 68% rating for Newcastle. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Newcastle and Leeds: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 13 Mar. Their next league game is away at Liverpool 21 days after this one. It is game 30 of 38 for them.
Leeds play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 13 Mar. Their next league game is at home to Forest 21 days after this one. It is game 30 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Elland Road, was played on Mon, 14 Sept 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 13 MarBournemouth vs NewcastleVitality Stadium
- 13 MarLeeds vs BrightonElland Road
- 20 MarNewcastle vs LeedsSt James' ParkThis match
- 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield
- 10 AprLeeds vs ForestElland Road
More Newcastle and Leeds predictions
- 10 AprLiverpool vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 17 AprNewcastle United vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 10 AprLeeds United vs Nottingham ForestPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 17 AprBrentford vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 20 MarArsenal vs SunderlandPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 20 MarBrentford vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 20:30 IST
Newcastle United vs Leeds United: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Newcastle vs Leeds?
Newcastle United, on our numbers: Newcastle 68%, draw 19%, Leeds 13%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Newcastle United vs Leeds United in India?
Sat, 20 Mar 2027, 20:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Leeds?
For a safer bet, Newcastle or draw (87%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (57%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Newcastle vs Leeds match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 68%, draw 19% aur Leeds ka chance 13% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Leeds?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Leeds?
We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it leans no. Over 2.5 goals is 57%.
What is the score prediction for Newcastle vs Leeds?
We predict 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 2-0 at 12%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.