Premier League 2026/27
AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United prediction
We predict 0-1. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
36%Bournemouth
26%draw
38%Newcastle
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Newcastle at 38%.
- Home advantage: Bournemouth have home support, but Newcastle are strong enough to overcome it.
- Goals outlook: At 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (49% for the over).
- Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 64% chance.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Newcastle?
We back Newcastle in AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United, with a predicted score of 0-1 and a 38% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kick-off: Sat, 13 Mar 2027 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Newcastle, 38%
- Draw
- 26%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Bournemouth have home support, but Newcastle are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
At 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (49% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
Our ratings put Newcastle clearly ahead, and the draw is only 26%. If Newcastle score first, Bournemouth may struggle to come back.
Helps Newcastle
How many goals in Bournemouth vs Newcastle?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Bournemouth vs Newcastle
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 64%
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Covers a Newcastle win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 73%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Newcastle 0-1
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
AFC Bournemouth
A solid mid-table side. Bournemouth are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Vitality Stadium, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Away
Newcastle United
Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win on the road at Vitality Stadium through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Match preview
AFC Bournemouth host Newcastle United at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model expects 1.30 goals from Bournemouth and 1.34 from Newcastle, which is where the 38% rating for Newcastle comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Bournemouth and Newcastle: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Bournemouth play 10 days after their game at home to Spurs on 03 Mar. Their next league game is away at Brentford 7 days after this one. It is game 29 of 38 for them.
Newcastle play 10 days after their game away at Forest on 03 Mar. Their next league game is at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. It is game 29 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at St James' Park, was played on Sat, 05 Sept 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 03 MarBournemouth vs SpursVitality Stadium
- 03 MarForest vs NewcastleCity Ground
- 13 MarBournemouth vs NewcastleVitality StadiumThis match
- 20 MarBrentford vs BournemouthGtech Community Stadium
- 20 MarNewcastle vs LeedsSt James' Park
More Bournemouth and Newcastle predictions
- 20 MarBrentford vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 AprAFC Bournemouth vs Manchester CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 20 MarNewcastle United vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 AprLiverpool vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 13 MarAston Villa vs Hull CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 13 MarChelsea vs ArsenalPremier League, 20:30 IST
AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Newcastle?
Newcastle United, on our numbers: Bournemouth 36%, draw 26%, Newcastle 38%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United in India?
Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Newcastle?
Our safer bet is Newcastle or draw (64%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (73%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Bournemouth vs Newcastle match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Bournemouth ka chance 36%, draw 26% aur Newcastle ka chance 38% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Newcastle?
We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 49%.
What is the score prediction for Bournemouth vs Newcastle?
We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United?
Our model expects 2.6 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.