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Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Newcastle United prediction

1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

59%Liverpool

22%draw

19%Newcastle

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Liverpool at 59%.
  • Home advantage: Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.
  • Goals outlook: Both sides create chances.
  • Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 81% chance.

Who will win Liverpool vs Newcastle?

We back Liverpool in Liverpool vs Newcastle United, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 59% win chance. The model expects goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kick-off: Sat, 10 Apr 2027 at 19:30 IST.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Liverpool, 59%
Draw
22%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.

    Helps Liverpool

  • Goals outlook

    Both sides create chances. We expect 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 at 55%, so an open game is more likely than a cagey one.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    Liverpool are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 22%. An early goal for them would be hard for Newcastle to overturn.

    Helps Liverpool

How many goals in Liverpool vs Newcastle?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 53%Over 2.5 goals 55%Expected goals 1.89 / 0.98

Best bets for Liverpool vs Newcastle

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 81%

    Double chance

    Liverpool or draw

    Wins if Liverpool win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 55%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.9 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 11%

    Correct score

    Liverpool 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball in front of their own fans at Anfield, leaving Newcastle to defend for long spells.

Away

Newcastle United

Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win on the road at Anfield through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.

Match preview

Newcastle United visit Anfield to face Liverpool in the 2026/27 Premier League. Liverpool get a 59% rating from our model, which expects 1.89 goals from Liverpool and 0.98 from Newcastle. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Liverpool and Newcastle: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 21 days after their game away at Fulham on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is away at Forest 7 days after this one. It is game 31 of 38 for them.

Newcastle play 21 days after their game at home to Leeds on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is at home to Spurs 7 days after this one. It is game 31 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at St James' Park, was played on Sun, 23 Aug 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 20 MarFulham vs LiverpoolCraven Cottage
  2. 20 MarNewcastle vs LeedsSt James' Park
  3. 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfieldThis match
  4. 17 AprForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  5. 17 AprNewcastle vs SpursSt James' Park

More Liverpool and Newcastle predictions

FAQ · 7

Liverpool vs Newcastle United: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Liverpool vs Newcastle?

Our pick is Liverpool. We rate Liverpool at 59%, the draw at 22% and Newcastle at 19%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Liverpool vs Newcastle United in India?

Sat, 10 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Newcastle?

For a safer bet, Liverpool or draw (81%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (55%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Liverpool vs Newcastle match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Liverpool ka chance 59%, draw 22% aur Newcastle ka chance 19% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Newcastle?

We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 55%.

What is the score prediction for Liverpool vs Newcastle?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-0 at 11%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Newcastle United?

Our model expects 2.9 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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