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Premier League 2026/27

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

57%Newcastle

23%draw

20%Spurs

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 57%.
  • Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (50% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 80% chance.

Who will win Newcastle vs Spurs?

We back Newcastle in Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 57% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kick-off: Sat, 17 Apr 2027 at 19:30 IST.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Newcastle, 57%
Draw
23%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.

    Helps Newcastle

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (50% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Newcastle clearly ahead, and the draw is only 23%. If Newcastle score first, Spurs may struggle to come back.

    Helps Newcastle

How many goals in Newcastle vs Spurs?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 50%Over 2.5 goals 50%Expected goals 1.76 / 0.92

Best bets for Newcastle vs Spurs

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 80%

    Double chance

    Newcastle or draw

    Pays out on a Newcastle win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 72%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 12%

    Correct score

    Newcastle 1-0

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Newcastle United

Organised and dependable, Newcastle usually win in front of their own fans at St James' Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Organised and dependable, Spurs usually win on the road at St James' Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings Tottenham Hotspur to Newcastle United's St James' Park. We project 1.76 expected goals for Newcastle against 0.92 for Spurs, and that gap drives our 57% rating for Newcastle. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Newcastle and Spurs: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Newcastle play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 10 Apr. Their next league game is at home to Ipswich 7 days after this one. It is game 32 of 38 for them.

Spurs play 7 days after their game at home to Brentford on 10 Apr. Their next league game is at home to Hull 7 days after this one. It is game 32 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, was played on Sat, 29 Aug 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield
  2. 10 AprSpurs vs BrentfordTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 17 AprNewcastle vs SpursSt James' ParkThis match
  4. 24 AprNewcastle vs IpswichSt James' Park
  5. 24 AprSpurs vs HullTottenham Hotspur Stadium

More Newcastle and Spurs predictions

FAQ · 7

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Newcastle vs Spurs?

Newcastle United, on our numbers: Newcastle 57%, draw 23%, Spurs 20%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur in India?

Kick-off is 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Spurs?

Newcastle or draw is the safer option at 80%. The value pick is total goals: Under 3.5 (72%). Check the line-ups before you bet.

Newcastle vs Spurs match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 57%, draw 23% aur Spurs ka chance 20% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Newcastle and London.

Where can I watch Newcastle vs Spurs?

Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.

How many goals will there be in Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our model expects 2.7 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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